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The Screen · Communication Services · Telecom Services

Telkom Indonesia

TLKM.JK · IDX · IDR · Market cap $262.54T · 18,539 employees

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
2,230.00 IDR

Price as of 15 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 10 days ago

Screened 2026-10-15 · the tape above runs as of 02:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price2,230.00 IDR at the 15 Oct 2026 close
  • Our ratingOpportunity, current read distribution
  • Ethical screenPasses, score 70.0 out of 100
  • Last reviewed15 Oct 2026 (10 days ago)

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
4,150.004,150.004,460.00

What this means: price 2,230.00 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 4,150.00, over the last year.

Current read
Distribution ?
OPPORTUNITY · screened 2026-10-15
  • Trend Distribution
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical passes the values gate
Price2,230.00 IDR
Fair value4,150.00
Ethical score70.0/100
RatingOPPORTUNITY
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-20Read Distribution2,230.00+0.0% to today Markdown gives way to Distribution after an 11% slide in 3 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown2,500.00-10.8% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown after a 6% slide in 5 weeks
2026-08-30Read Accumulation2,660.00-16.2% to today Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-07-25Read Distribution2,660.00-16.2% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Distribution after a 7% slide in 3 weeks

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Telkom Indonesia holds its Distribution at $2,230.00. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-10-15
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days
Price at the screen$2,230.00
Valuation15.21 trailing · 9.57 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.13
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 25.67% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 25.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 11.33% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 11.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 0.27% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 2.57% Below 5% Only 2.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Clears, in Plain English

Telkom Indonesia clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 26%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 3% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.

Read as at 2026-10-24. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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Today TLKM.JK passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 86% discount to our $4,150.00 fair value, 1.50% revenue growth.

4,150.00Conservative4,150.00Base case4,460.00Growth case 2,230.00Price

Fair value range in IDR, drawn from the 2026-10-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 86.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
2,800.00Street low 3,640.00Street average 4,150.00Street high 2,230.00Price

Third-party analyst targets: 22 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +63% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$4,266$3,424$2,581TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$4,150.00 +48%Our fair value$4,150.00 +48%Street high$4,150.00 +48%Street avg$3,640.00 +30%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-15 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it stands out

A 2%-growth business trading at just 9.6x forward earnings, with minimal debt. That is a 86% discount to our $4,150.00 fair value: the market is pricing it cautiously while the fundamentals argue otherwise. 22 analysts rate it Strong Buy with a $3,640.00 average target, about 63% above the screened price.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.6xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E15.2xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing164.39
EPS, forward261.11
Revenue growth+1.5%slow but positive growth
Profit margin11.3%thin but positive margins
Return on equity14.2%a solid return on shareholder capital
FCF yield13.05%
Dividend yield756.00%
Debt to equity0.44minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio0.92below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.13barely tracks the market's swings
52-week range2,350.00 - 3,990.00
Market cap$262.54T
Employees18,539

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Indonesia and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

TLKM.JK trades on IDX (the company is based in Indonesia). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-20 Distribution · changed $2,230.00 -10.8% Entry 13

The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657.

2026-10-02 Markdown · changed $2,500.00 -6.0% Entry 12

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 6.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657.

2026-08-30 Accumulation · changed $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 11

The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657.

2026-07-30 Distribution $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 10

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-28 Distribution $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 9

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-27 Distribution $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 8

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-26 Distribution $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 7

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-25 Distribution · changed $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-24 Accumulation $2,660.00 +0.0% Entry 5

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-23 Accumulation $2,660.00 -7.0% Entry 4

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 7.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (22 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $3657. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $2,960.00 -5.1% · $949 -5.1%
2 months $3,210.00 -12.5% · $875 -12.5%
3 months $3,020.00 -7.0% · $931 -7.0%
6 months $3,550.00 -20.9% · $792 -20.9%
1 year $2,697.53 +4.2% $212.47 $1,120 +12.0%
2 years $2,790.23 +0.7% $212.47 $1,083 +8.3%
3 years $3,479.06 -19.2% $558.57 $968 -3.2%
5 years $2,806.35 +0.1% $708.54 $1,254 +25.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TLKM.JK does next, these words stay.

Telkom Indonesia · TLKM.JK · Distribution · $2,230.00
Recorded 2026-10-15 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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