NAS100 29,368 +0.91% S&P 7,657 +0.86% GOLD $4,390 +0.58% BTC $77,267 +0.91% VIX 15.84 −11.21% live tape · as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep
Vol. II · No. 255Saturday, 12 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Basic Materials

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. logoNorthern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.

NAK · NYSE American · USD · Market cap $826M

PASS · Titan Ethical
1.47 USD

At the last full screen
2026-09-07

Screened 2026-09-07 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. holds its Markdown at $1.47. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 47 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-07
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 47 days
Price at the screen$1.47
ValuationN/A trailing · -203.49 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS
Beta0.59
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 0.27% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 0.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 4.71% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 4.7% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

1.98Conservative1.98Base case2.35Growth case 1.47Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-07 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$2.8$1.4$0.0TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet avg$2.57 +38%Street high$2.57 +38%Conservative$1.98 +6%Our fair value$1.98 +6%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-07 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-203.5x
EPS, trailing-0.09
EPS, forward-0.01
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-261.3%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield1.30%
Debt to equity0.30minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio0.50below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.59steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.04%
52-week range0.79 - 2.98
Market cap$826M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

NAK trades on NYSE American. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-06 Markdown · changed $1.68 +5.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 5.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 41%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (1 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $2.

2026-08-06 Distribution · changed $1.60 -16.2% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 41%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (1 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $2.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $1.91 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 41%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (1 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $2.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $1.91 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $1.91 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in NAK's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · NAK
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-19 Peters, Mark Senior Officer of Issuer 20,000 ·
2026-05-19 Thiessen (Ronald William) Director of Issuer 200,000 ·
2026-05-14 Chodos (Adam Jonathan) Senior Officer of Issuer 55,000 $16,445
2026-05-14 Chodos (Adam Jonathan) Senior Officer of Issuer 55,000 $125,070
2026-05-13 Thomas (Trevor) Senior Officer of Issuer 100,000 $29,900
2026-05-13 Thomas (Trevor) Senior Officer of Issuer 100,000 $226,200
2026-05-13 Westerlund, Mike Senior Officer of Issuer 1,000 $1,467
2026-05-13 Westerlund, Mike Senior Officer of Issuer 100,000 $29,900
2026-05-13 Westerlund, Mike Senior Officer of Issuer 101,000 $224,826
2026-05-06 Kopernik Global Investors, LLC 10% Security Holder of Issuer 107,066 $230,191

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $2.18 -14.7% · $853 -14.7%
2 months $1.76 +5.7% · $1,057 +5.7%
3 months $1.33 +39.9% · $1,399 +39.9%
6 months $2.15 -13.5% · $865 -13.5%
1 year $1.32 +40.9% · $1,409 +40.9%
2 years $0.29 +541.4% · $6,414 +541.4%
3 years $0.21 +785.8% · $8,858 +785.8%
5 years $0.56 +232.2% · $3,322 +232.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever NAK does next, these words stay.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. · NAK · Markdown · $1.47
Recorded 2026-09-07 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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