HD
Home Depot (The)
Consumer Discretionary · Home Improvement Retail · US
$317.45
Close 2026-01-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$316.2B
Trailing P/E
22.30
Forward P/E
19.50
Rev Growth
-3.8%
Profit Margin
8.4%
ROE
145.5%
Analyst Target
$401.39
Recommendation
BUY
About Home Depot (The)

The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, and windows. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company serves consumers, such as do-it-yourself homeowners and do-it-for-me customers; and professional renovators/remodelers, general contractors, small to medium homebuilders, maintenance professionals, handymen, property managers, building service contractors and specialty tradespeople, such as electricians, landscapers, plumbers, painters, pool contractors, and roofers. It sells its products through websites and its mobile applications, including homedepot.com; homedepot.ca and homedepot.com.mx; blinds.com, justblinds.com, and americanblinds.com for custom window coverings; thecompanystore.com, an online site for textiles and décor products; hdsupply.com for maintenance, repair, and operations products and related services; and srsdistribution.com, heritagelandscapesupplygroup.com, and heritagepoolsupplygroup.com for roofing and building materials, landscape, and pool products; and The Home Depot stores. The Home Depot, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Opportunity Summary
Trading near fair value at $317 (estimated $326). Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 16% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.62%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.06%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 67.0
Score Quality: 52.0
Score Combined: 42.2
Fair Value Est: $326.00 · Margin of Safety: +2.7% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation97.2
Quality41.5
Cash Flow33.8
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity98.5
Compliance58.4
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 53.7 · Rank: #1091
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-184.69Pending--
2026-05-193.413.43+0.7%
2026-02-242.522.72+7.8%
2025-11-183.833.74-2.5%
2025-08-194.604.58-0.5%
2025-05-203.523.45-1.9%
2025-02-252.993.02+1.1%
2024-11-123.663.67+0.3%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-04-303.31
2026-01-31$38.2B$2.6B$5.0B$12.5B$3.8B2.59
2025-10-31$41.4B$3.6B$6.4B$13.8B$5.4B3.63
2025-07-31$45.3B$4.6B$7.6B$15.1B$6.6B4.59
2025-04-30$39.9B$3.4B$6.2B$13.5B$5.1B3.46
2025-01-31$39.7B$3.0B$5.5B$13.0B$4.5B
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-25BASTEK WILLIAM DOfficer3,518--
2026-03-25BROGGI JORDANOfficer3,022--
2026-03-25ROWE MICHAEL FOfficer2,255--
2026-03-25BROWN ANGIEChief Technology Officer2,255--
2026-03-25SMITH STEPHANIEOfficer2,345--
2026-03-25CAMPBELL ANN-MARIEOfficer4,691--
2026-03-25DEATON JOHN A.Officer2,467--
2026-03-25MCPHAIL RICHARD VChief Financial Officer3,969--
2026-03-25ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNNGeneral Counsel2,440--
2026-03-25SCARDINO KIMBERLY R.Officer902--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.78.7M$24.6B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC64.7M$20.3B0.1%
State Street Corporation46.7M$14.6B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC25.3M$7.9B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC24.9M$7.8B0.0%
Morgan Stanley22.4M$7.0B0.0%
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.17.1M$5.3B0.0%
Bank of America Corporation16.3M$5.1B0.0%
Capital World Investors16.1M$5.1B0.0%
Capital Research Global Investors15.0M$4.7B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
18
14
36 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
18
15
37 analysts
Last Month
4
18
14
37 analysts
Current
4
18
14
36 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$372.7B
Price/Book
22.43
Beta
0.999
Analysts
33
Total Revenue (TTM)
$164.7B
Total Debt
$63.2B
Earnings Growth
-4.3%
Dividend Yield
294.0%
Rec. Mean
1.89
Short Ratio
3.03
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
472,400

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 42.2 (P50 — top 50.1% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical FAIL. 33 analysts at Buy.
Price: $317.45 | Target: $372.06 (+17%) | Fair Value: $326.00 (+3%)
Score
42
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+17%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-3.8%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE145.5%
Forward P/E19.5
Market Cap$316.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-18$4.69Pending
2026-05-19$3.41$3.43+0.7%
2026-02-24$2.52$2.72+7.8%
2025-11-18$3.83$3.74-2.5%
2025-08-19$4.60$4.58-0.5%
2025-05-20$3.52$3.45-1.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $269.83 (-15%) | Entry: $317.45
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($372.06, 33 analysts)
10$3,174.50+$546.10 (17%)1.1R
50$15,872.50+$2,730.50 (17%)1.1R
100$31,745.00+$5,461.00 (17%)1.1R
To Fair Value ($326.00)
10$3,174.50+$85.50 (3%)0.2R
50$15,872.50+$427.50 (3%)0.2R
100$31,745.00+$855.00 (3%)0.2R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.03 days to cover)
The Verdict
Home Depot (The) holds a narrow competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
34.5
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.3%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-28.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.0x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
62.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
LOW0.882
MAS0.701
PHM0.697
SHW0.693
KBH0.684
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
LPTVQ-0.207
SUKOON.AE-0.194
BAES.L-0.170
BNO-0.165
USO-0.158
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.26540452506169365
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-2.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-7.5%
3M Return
-18.7%
6M Return
-5.3%
12M Return
-13.0%
Momentum Rank
#3816
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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