Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

United Bankshares, Inc. logoUnited Bankshares, Inc. UBSI

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · United Bankshares, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking products and services in the United States.

The label
Markup

read at $47.58

United Bankshares, Inc. holds its Markup at $47.58.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 283 days
Price$47.58
Valuation13.33 trailing · 12.50 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.73

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$47.58
13.33 P/E · 12.50 fwd
Our fair value
$50.00
5% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$48.00
+1% to current
Target low $46.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $50.00
▲ current $47.58 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$51.7$39.4$27.2TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$50.00 +11%Analyst high$50.00 +11%Analyst avg$48.00 +7%Conservative$42.83 -5%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$47.58
you are here
Conservative
$42.83
-10%
Analyst avg
$48.00
+1%
Our fair value
$50.00
+5%
Analyst high
$50.00
+5%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.

Revenue growth10.60%
Profit margin40.96%
Analyst consensusHold · 6 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank Fail
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
  • Revenue purity of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Bank Looks Fairly Priced but Ethics Say Pass

Picture a regional lender taking deposits from small businesses and turning them into local loans. The numbers show steady 11% revenue growth, a 41% profit margin and a forward P/E of 12.5x that sits close to our fair value. Yet none of that matters once the ethical screen flags the entire banking sector.

We pass for the single reason that the business sits inside an industry our rules exclude. Valuation at a 5% margin of safety and a 9% ROE do not change the filter. Analyst targets clustered around $48 reinforce that the market already prices the shares fairly, leaving no room for an exception.

Risk sits in the sector exposure itself, where regulation and credit cycles can shift earnings quickly. The screen exists to keep us out of those situations regardless of price. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E12.5x
fairly priced for its growth rate
Trailing P/E13.3x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth10.6%
steady growth
Profit margin41.0%
highly profitable on every dollar of sales
Return on equity9.3%
a modest return on shareholder capital
Beta0.73
steadier than the market
Market cap$6.6B
Employees2,749

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in UBSI's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

UBSI trades on Nasdaq. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $47. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markdown

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Markdown $45.65 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-07-03 Markdown $45.65 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $45.65 Entry 1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $42.58 +5.4% · $1,054 +5.4%
2 months $43.84 +2.4% · $1,024 +2.4%
3 months $38.89 +15.4% $0.38 $1,164 +16.4%
6 months $38.77 +15.8% $0.76 $1,177 +17.7%
1 year $35.63 +26.0% $1.50 $1,302 +30.2%
2 years $28.89 +55.4% $2.98 $1,657 +65.7%
3 years $29.35 +52.9% $4.08 $1,668 +66.8%
5 years $31.18 +43.9% $6.95 $1,662 +66.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever UBSI does next, these words stay.

United Bankshares, Inc. · UBSI · Markup · $47.58
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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