NAS10030,808+1.00%S&P7,723+0.73%GOLD$4,196+0.81%BTC$86,156−0.37%VIX16.35+6.79%live tape · as of 09:01 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
O-I Glass, Inc.
OI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $934M · 19,000 employees
O-I Glass, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers to food and beverage manufacturers in the Americas, Europe, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
6.09 USD
Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote Last reviewed 14 days ago
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 09:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 6.09 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 11.25, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price6.09 USD
Fair value11.25
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Markdown6.09+0.0% to today
2026-09-08Read Markup7.21-15.5% to today
2026-07-02Read Distribution9.17-33.6% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
O-I Glass, Inc. holds its Markdown at $6.09. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 20 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 20 days
Price at the screen
$6.09
Valuation
N/A trailing · 4.04 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.66
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
54.08%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 54.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.71%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
O-I Glass,'s business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 54% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 84.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +48% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Glass Bottles Look Cheap But Numbers Warn
Picture the clink of beer bottles on a Friday night. O-I Glass makes those containers for brewers and food firms across three continents, yet revenue is already sliding 2% and margins sit at minus 3%. A forward multiple of 4.9 times sounds tempting until the return on equity lands at minus 12%, showing the low price simply reflects a business under pressure rather than a bargain.
We pass because this is the classic cyclical value trap. Peak earnings in packaging often coincide with the lowest multiples, and negative growth plus weak profitability suggest earnings may fall further rather than recover. Analyst targets sit only modestly above the current price, offering little cushion once volumes soften in a downturn.
Currency swings, energy costs and shifting consumer habits toward lighter packaging add real downside. The ethical screen clears, yet the financial picture does not support ownership here.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
OI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-02Markdown · changed$6.09-15.5%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-09-08Markup · changed$7.21+0.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 0.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-08-07Distribution$7.15-22.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 22.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-18Distribution$9.17+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-03Distribution$9.17+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$9.17Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
