The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
Karat Packaging Inc
KRT · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $994M · 636 employees
Karat Packaging Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of single-use disposable products in plastic, paper, biopolymer-based, and other compostable forms used in various restaur…
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 14 days ago
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 07:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 50.61 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 40.64, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
Karat Packaging Inc holds its Accumulation at $50.61. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days |
| Price at the screen | $50.61 |
| Valuation | 20.24 trailing · 21.72 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.81 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 15.31% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 15.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 25.82% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 25.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.47% | Below 5% | Only 0.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
Karat Packaging clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 15%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 19.7% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −8% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 21.7xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 20.2xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 2.50 |
| EPS, forward | 2.33 |
| Revenue growth | +9.9%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 10.2%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 30.6%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 3.15% |
| Dividend yield | 599.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.25comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.81steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 20.61 - 50.81 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $994M |
| Employees | 636 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeKRT trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 24.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 26.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock Fair Value Rises After Analyst Target Increases Simply Wall St. · 19d ago
- 2 Small-Cap Stocks with Promising Prospects and 1 We Brush Off StockStory · 25d ago
- 2 Momentum Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 Facing Headwinds StockStory · 25 Aug 2026
- 3 Reasons KRT Has Explosive Upside Potential StockStory · 21 Aug 2026
- 3 Cash-Producing Stocks on Our Watchlist StockStory · 18 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $26.57 | +10.7% | $0.45 | $1,123 | +12.3% |
| 2 months | $29.30 | +0.4% | $0.45 | $1,019 | +1.9% |
| 3 months | $21.95 | +34.0% | $0.45 | $1,360 | +36.0% |
| 6 months | $22.18 | +32.5% | $0.90 | $1,366 | +36.6% |
| 1 year | $28.78 | +2.2% | $1.80 | $1,084 | +8.4% |
| 2 years | $24.43 | +20.4% | $3.60 | $1,351 | +35.1% |
| 3 years | $13.78 | +113.4% | $4.95 | $2,493 | +149.3% |
| 5 years | $16.10 | +82.6% | $5.65 | $2,177 | +117.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever KRT does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.