NOC

Northrop Grumman

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · US
$544.40
Data:
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Convergence Score
Score pending — view screener
Market Regime
Analysis pending
Today's Read
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-...
2026-07-03
Full Daily Analysis

Key Metrics

How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter

Market Cap
$78.1B
Total market value of the company
17.20
Reasonably valued
18.20
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+4.4%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
28.5%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$710.60
+31% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
BUY
Consensus view from 22 analysts covering this stock

About Northrop Grumman

Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic, surveillance and reconnaissance systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, and missile defense solutions; and provides sustainment, modernization, and training services for manned and unmanned aircraft and electronics systems. This segment also offers strategic missiles; integrated all-domain command and control systems; precision strike weapons; tactical solid rocket motors, and high-speed air-breathing and hypersonic systems; high-performance gun systems, ammunition, precision munitions, and advanced fuzes; and sustainment, operation, and modernization. The Mission Systems segment provides command, control, communication and computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared, and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; microelectronics; navigation and positioning sensors; maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems; cyber solutions; and intelligence processing systems. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites, spacecraft systems, subsystems, sensors, and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; and launch vehicles and related propulsion systems. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.

https://www.northropgrumman.com

Country: United States Employees: 95,000 Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Ethical Screening

Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance

Business Activity
FAIL
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
0.0%
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.0%
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
0.0%
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.0%
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification

Valuation

$604.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
9.9%
Slight discount to fair value
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
44.7th
Ranks in the top 55% of our 13,571 screened universe
Ethical Score
10.0
Valuation Score
67.0
Quality Score
57.0
Combined
37.9

Trading near fair value at $550 (estimated $604). Moderate competitive position. Fails ethical screen (Business activity screen). Ranks better than 14% of screened stocks.

Quantitative Intelligence

Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data

MARKDOWN
Price trending down — defensive positioning
0.581
Good returns relative to risk taken
0.0520
Suggested allocation is meaningful — the edge justifies a position
0.414
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
12.3%
Historical annualised return based on price data
-29.6%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
BEAR
Statistical model detects bearish conditions
Days in State
23
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable

Market Data

Trading characteristics and market positioning

-0.11
Very low correlation to market moves
52W High
$774.00
30% below the year high
52W Low
$466.38
17% above the year low
Avg Volume
821,477
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
2.1
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
1.2%
Low short interest — limited bearish positioning
168.0%
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
$31.93
Earnings per share over the last 12 months

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value

1.03
Meaningful debt load — monitor closely
1.15
Adequate but worth monitoring
Quick Ratio
0.98
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
20.5%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
11.7%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
$2.1B
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$42.4B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$4.6B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive

Analyst Coverage

Analysts
22
Target High
$815.00
Target Median
$710.60
Target Low
$587.22

Recent Insider Activity

SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling

35
SELL LEANING
More selling than buying from insiders recently. 1 sales vs 0 purchases in 90 days. Politicians have been buying this name.
Date Insider Title Type Shares Value
2026-05-04 Welsh Mark A III Dir Sale 95 $54,310
2026-03-02 Simpson Kathryn G Corp VP, GC Sale 873 $650,385
2026-02-27 Roeder Roshan S CVP, Pres Mission Systems Sale 1,754 $1,262,880
2026-02-19 Simpson Kathryn G Corp VP, GC Sale 194 $141,158
2026-02-19 Roeder Roshan S CVP, Pres Mission Systems Sale 512 $372,541
2026-02-19 Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller, CAO Sale 147 $107,748
2026-02-18 Davies Benjamin R. CVP, Pres Defense Systems Sale 2,189 $1,575,255
2026-02-17 Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller, CAO Sale 716 $501,609
2026-02-17 Simpson Kathryn G Corp VP, GC Sale 779 $547,294
2026-02-17 Roeder Roshan S CVP, Pres Mission Systems Sale 318 $223,414
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence

Political Trading Activity

Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument

Date Politician Party Type Amount
2026-05-08 Bill Keating Democrat Purchase 1K–15K
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence

What If You'd Bought NOC?

Period Price Then Price Return Divs/Share $1,000 Became Total Return
1 Month $545.81 -0.5% $2.47 $1,000 0.0%
2 Months $670.78 -19.0% $2.47 $813 -18.7%
3 Months $733.07 -25.9% $2.47 $744 -25.6%
6 Months $555.81 -2.3% $4.78 $986 -1.4%
1 Year $481.25 +12.9% $9.40 $1,148 +14.8%
2 Years $421.64 +28.8% $17.89 $1,331 +33.1%
3 Years $432.19 +25.7% $25.56 $1,316 +31.6%
5 Years $345.91 +57.0% $39.06 $1,683 +68.3%
Dividends Collected Per Share
1 Year: $9.4000
3 Years: $25.5600
5 Years: $39.0600
$1,000 invested 1 year ago = 2.1 shares = $19.53 in dividends collected

Historical returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices from market close data.

Framework Review History

Timestamped framework reads — tracking how the analysis evolves over time

2026-07-03 MARKDOWN $544.40 +0.0% Review #2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 MARKDOWN $544.40 Review #1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

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