The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Fortescue Ltd
FSUMF · OQX · USD · Market cap $36.0B · 15,745 employees
Fortescue Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, processing, and sale of iron ore in Australia, China, and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 92.1Price as of 15 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 10 days ago
Screened 2026-10-15 · the tape above runs as of 08:04 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price11.70 USD at the 15 Oct 2026 close
- Our ratingFair value, current read distribution
- Ethical screenPasses, score 92.1 out of 100
- Last reviewed15 Oct 2026 (10 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 11.70 against the desk's fair-value range, over the last year.
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
Fortescue Ltd holds its Distribution at $11.70. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 58 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 58 days |
| Price at the screen | $11.70 |
| Valuation | 12.72 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 92.1 |
| Beta | 0.69 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 11.40% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 11.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 9.39% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 9.4% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 0.00% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
Fortescue clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 11%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-24. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads FAIR VALUE: 7.90% revenue growth.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it is worth knowing
A quality business: 17% profit margins.
| Trailing P/E | 12.7xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 0.92 |
| Revenue growth | +7.9%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 16.9%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 14.2%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 8.80% |
| Dividend yield | 5.12% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.32comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.69steadier than the market |
| 52-week range | 10.44 - 16.60 |
| Market cap | $36.0B |
| Employees | 15,745 |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Australia and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Titan Case StudyOur full written analysis of FSUMF: FSUMF Case Study → 2026-07-02
Where & How to TradeFSUMF trades on OQX (the company is based in Australia). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 12.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 11.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score (92). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score (92). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Fortescue produces first hot metal at Christmas Creek project Yahoo Finance · 26d ago
- Top 3 Australian Dividend Stocks With Yield Over 3% Yahoo Finance · 27d ago
- Inside Fortescue’s billion-dollar bet to decarbonize mining—and help rebuild Ukraine Yahoo Finance · 23 Sep 2026
- BHP Group And 2 Australian Dividend Stocks To Own Yahoo Finance · 22 Sep 2026
- WA Government and YNAC appeal Fortescue compensation ruling Mining Technology · 27 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Gaines (Elizabeth Anne) | Director (Executive) | 275,000 | $3,937,312 | |
| 2026-03-30 | Marshall (Larry) | Director (Non-Executive) | 895 | $11,804 | |
| 2026-03-30 | Barnaba (Mark) | Deputy Chairman | 1,474 | · | |
| 2026-02-26 | Barnaba (Mark) | Deputy Chairman | 288 | $4,261 | |
| 2026-02-26 | Marshall (Larry) | Director (Non-Executive) | 4,930 | $72,948 | |
| 2026-02-26 | Rao-Monari (Usha) | Director (Non-Executive) | 287 | $4,246 | |
| 2025-09-26 | Marshall (Larry) | Director (Non-Executive) | 707 | $8,711 | |
| 2025-09-26 | Barnaba (Mark) | Deputy Chairman | 10 | $123 | |
| 2025-09-26 | Barnaba (Mark) | Deputy Chairman | 1,396 | $17,201 | |
| 2025-08-27 | Barnaba (Mark) | Deputy Chairman | 316 | $3,906 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $15.33 | -5.4% | · | $946 | -5.4% |
| 2 months | $15.15 | -4.3% | · | $957 | -4.3% |
| 3 months | $14.30 | +1.4% | · | $1,014 | +1.4% |
| 6 months | $14.66 | -1.1% | $0.63 | $1,032 | +3.2% |
| 1 year | $10.11 | +43.5% | $0.63 | $1,497 | +49.7% |
| 2 years | $13.77 | +5.3% | $1.94 | $1,194 | +19.4% |
| 3 years | $10.41 | +39.2% | $3.87 | $1,764 | +76.4% |
| 5 years | $9.11 | +59.2% | $8.90 | $2,570 | +157.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever FSUMF does next, these words stay.
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