FDX

FedEx

Industrials · Air Freight & Logistics · US
$331.00
Data: 2025-05-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Convergence Score
Score pending — view screener
Market Regime
Analysis pending
Today's Read
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows goo...
2026-07-03
Full Daily Analysis

Key Metrics

How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter

Market Cap
$90.3B
Total market value of the company
20.20
Premium valuation
16.90
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+8.3%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
15.9%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$400.96
+21% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
BUY
Consensus view from 26 analysts covering this stock

About FedEx

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services. It also provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, free Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, expedited U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean freight-forwarding and cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage and clearance, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

https://www.fedex.com

Country: United States Employees: 300,000 Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics

Ethical Screening

Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance

Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
42.7% FAIL
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.0% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
19.3% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.4% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification

Valuation

$447.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
26.0%
Trading below fair value — margin of safety exists
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
45.4th
Ranks in the top 55% of our 13,571 screened universe
Ethical Score
10.0
Valuation Score
67.0
Quality Score
49.0
Combined
38.2

Trading at $379 against a fair value of $447, a 15% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 2% of screened stocks.

Quantitative Intelligence

Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data

MARKUP
Price trending up with increasing momentum
0.963
Good returns relative to risk taken
0.0933
Suggested allocation is meaningful — the edge justifies a position
0.837
Acceptable balance between returns and drawdown risk
Annual Return
30.0%
Historical annualised return based on price data
-35.9%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
BULL
Statistical model sees bullish momentum
Days in State
15
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable

Market Data

Trading characteristics and market positioning

1.30
Moves slightly more than the broader market
52W High
$404.03
18% below the year high
52W Low
$214.35
54% above the year low
Avg Volume
1,768,679
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
2.6
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
1.6%
Low short interest — limited bearish positioning
153.0%
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
$18.74
Earnings per share over the last 12 months

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value

1.41
Meaningful debt load — monitor closely
1.47
Adequate but worth monitoring
Quick Ratio
1.16
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
27.6%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
6.9%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
$894M
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$91.9B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$4.5B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive

Analyst Coverage

Analysts
26
Target High
$479.00
Target Median
$400.96
Target Low
$230.00

Recent Insider Activity

SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling

45
NEUTRAL
Mixed insider activity. 0 purchases and 0 sales in the last 90 days — no clear directional signal. Political selling noted.
Date Insider Title Type Shares Value
2026-05-05 GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA Director 4,123 $1,012,574
2026-04-27 GORMAN STEPHEN E Director 4,727 $693,073
2026-04-20 SUBRAMANIAM RAJESH Chief Executive Officer 21,305 $4,917,046
2026-04-15 BRIGHTMAN TRACY B Officer 11,865 $2,986,793
2026-04-15 SCHWAB SUSAN C Director 5,795 $2,138,355
2026-04-15 SCHWAB SUSAN C Director 5,795 $1,341,821
2026-04-15 BRIGHTMAN TRACY B Officer 16,959 $6,164,156
2026-04-14 SMITH RICHARD W. Officer and Director 600
2026-04-14 SMITH RICHARD W. Officer and Director 3,805 $619,530
2026-04-14 ADAMS GINA F General Counsel 20,450 $3,077,156
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence

Political Trading Activity

Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument

Date Politician Party Type Amount
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Sale 1K–15K
1 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 15K–50K
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence

What If You'd Bought FDX?

Period Price Then Price Return Divs/Share $1,000 Became Total Return
1 Month $305.32 +5.3% $1,053 +5.3%
2 Months $301.43 +6.6% $1,066 +6.6%
3 Months $284.55 +12.9% $1,129 +12.9%
6 Months $227.38 +41.3% $2.34 $1,423 +42.3%
1 Year $179.70 +78.8% $4.67 $1,814 +81.4%
2 Years $195.90 +64.0% $9.12 $1,687 +68.7%
3 Years $170.25 +88.8% $12.17 $1,959 +95.9%
5 Years $216.41 +48.5% $19.31 $1,574 +57.4%
Dividends Collected Per Share
1 Year: $4.6737
3 Years: $12.1676
5 Years: $19.3070
$1,000 invested 1 year ago = 5.6 shares = $26.01 in dividends collected

Historical returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices from market close data.

Framework Review History

Timestamped framework reads — tracking how the analysis evolves over time

2026-07-03 MARKUP $331.00 +0.0% Review #2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 MARKUP $331.00 Review #1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

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Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2025-05-31

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