QuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops solid-state lithium-metal battery technology for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
5.28 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
QuantumScape Corporation holds its Markdown at $5.28. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 57 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 57 days
Price at the screen
$5.28
Valuation
N/A trailing · -7.76 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
2.69
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
5.43%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 5.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
56.59%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are 56.6% of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
17.62%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 17.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
Excluded
Below 5%
of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 42.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +42% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Battery dreams stall without real numbers
Picture an EV battery that promises to charge in minutes and last for a million miles, yet the company behind it still posts zero profit and a negative 38 percent return on equity. QuantumScape sits in exactly that spot, trading at 5.86 dollars against an analyst median of 8 dollars while showing a forward price to earnings ratio of negative 8.6 times. The ethical screen returns insufficient data because basic financial ratios are missing, so the opportunity rating stays at none.
We pass for straightforward reasons. No profits means the business model remains unproven at scale, and an unknown moat leaves investors guessing whether the solid-state technology can fend off bigger rivals already shipping cells today. The 39 percent gap to fair value looks attractive on paper, yet it rests on assumptions rather than cash flow or returns that actually exist.
Cyclical auto exposure adds another layer of uncertainty, with execution risk and funding needs likely to dominate until revenue appears. Currency swings or supply chain hiccups could widen losses further. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
QS trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-10Markdown · changed$5.82+5.2%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 22.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
2026-07-18Markup$7.09+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
2026-07-03Markup$7.09+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$7.09Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
