The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $206.
MSA Safety Incorporated
MSA · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $7.0B · 5,300 employees
MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products and technology solutions that protect workers and facility infrastructures worldwide.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 17:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
MSA Safety Incorporated holds its Markdown at $182.18. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 28 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 28 days |
| Price at the screen | $182.18 |
| Valuation | 22.63 trailing · 18.16 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.94 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 24.55% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 24.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 18.46% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 18.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.31% | Below 5% | Only 0.3% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 14.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +18% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsSafety gear that works but offers little edge
Think of a firefighter pulling on breathing kit before stepping into smoke. MSA makes the gear that keeps industrial workers alive, from self contained breathing sets to helmets and sensors. Revenue is rising at 10 percent with 15 percent margins and 23 percent ROE, yet the opportunity rating stays at none because the shares already sit close to our fair value line.
The stock trades at 17.6 times forward earnings with a 17 percent gap to our 200 dollar mark. That cushion looks modest once unknown moat strength and steady industrial demand are weighed against the price. Seven analysts cluster around 206 dollars, leaving little room for error if growth slows.
Risk sits in cyclical industrial spending and competition from larger kit makers that could squeeze share. The ethical screen clears but the numbers do not shout value. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 18.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 22.6xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 8.05 |
| EPS, forward | 10.03 |
| Revenue growth | +6.2%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 16.1%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 23.7%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.50% |
| Dividend yield | 135.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.46minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 3.24comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.94steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.02% |
| 52-week range | 151.11 - 208.92 |
| Market cap | $7.0B |
| Employees | 5,300 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeMSA trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 19.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $206.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $206.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $168.05 | -6.4% | $0.54 | $939 | -6.1% |
| 2 months | $171.70 | -8.4% | $0.54 | $919 | -8.1% |
| 3 months | $178.89 | -12.1% | $0.54 | $882 | -11.8% |
| 6 months | $163.04 | -3.5% | $1.07 | $971 | -2.9% |
| 1 year | $164.41 | -4.3% | $2.13 | $970 | -3.0% |
| 2 years | $168.15 | -6.5% | $4.19 | $960 | -4.0% |
| 3 years | $148.79 | +5.7% | $6.11 | $1,098 | +9.8% |
| 5 years | $156.80 | +0.3% | $9.74 | $1,065 | +6.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MSA does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.