BF-B
Brown–Forman
Consumer Staples · Distillers & Vintners · US

$27.68
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

STRONG MOAT

HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available

Market Cap
$12.7B
Trailing P/E
16.10
Forward P/E
16.30
Rev Growth
+2.0%
Profit Margin
20.6%
ROE
20.4%
Analyst Target
$28.63
Recommendation
HOLD

About Brown–Forman

Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a variety of alcohol beverages. It provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink cocktails, ready-to-pour products, vodkas, tequilas, gin, brandy, rum, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel’s, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester, Gentleman Jack, Herradura, el Jimador, Fords Gin, The Glendronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, and Slane brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, and bulk whiskey and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors and state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It operates in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Mexico, Poland, Brazil, Türkiye, and internationally. Brown-Forman Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $28 against a fair value of $34, a 19% discount. Strong competitive moat. Fails ethical screen (Business activity screen). Ranks better than 17% of screened stocks.

Ethical Screen
Business Activity FAIL
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
Overall FAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 73.0
Score Quality: 49.0
Score Combined: 43.0
Fair Value Est: $34.00 · Margin of Safety: +22.8% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership

Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality48.8
Cash Flow58.8
Moat100.0
Balance Sheet79.6
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: GOLD · Score: 73.1 · Rank: #208

Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
Date EPS Est. Reported EPS Surprise %
2026-06-04 0.32 Pending
2026-03-04 0.47 0.58 +24.7%
2025-12-04 0.48 0.47 -1.5%
2025-08-28 0.37 0.36 -1.9%
2025-06-05 0.34 0.31 -9.8%
2025-03-05 0.46 0.57 +23.4%
2024-12-05 0.49 0.55 +12.2%
2024-08-29 0.46 0.41 -10.2%

Quarterly Financials
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA Gross Profit Op. Income EPS
2026-01-31 $1.1B $267.0M $365.0M $640.0M $343.0M 0.58
2025-10-31 $1.0B $224.0M $327.0M $615.0M $309.0M 0.47
2025-07-31 $924.0M $170.0M $267.0M $552.0M $272.0M 0.36
2025-04-30 $894.0M $146.0M $231.0M $513.0M $232.0M 0.31
2025-01-31 $1.0B $270.0M $385.0M $619.0M $311.0M 0.57
2024-10-31

Insider Transactions
Date Name Role Shares Value
2026-04-30 ENYARD ANGELA S. Officer 884
2025-12-04 WHITING LAWSON E Chief Executive Officer 4,785 $148.3K
2025-10-08 FARRER MARSHALL B Director 2,720
2025-07-23 WHITING LAWSON E Chief Executive Officer 23,641 $732.9K
2025-07-09 BROWN CAMPBELL P Director 390,000
2025-06-02 MASICK MICHAEL ANDREW Officer 286
2025-06-02 PAFILIS YIANNIS Officer 164
2025-06-02 CARR MICHAEL E JR General Counsel 225
2025-06-02 NGUYEN DIANE F Officer 552
2025-06-02 GRAVEN CHRISTINA M Officer 552
Top Institutional Holders
Holder Shares Value % Held
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 14.7M $384.4M 0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 13.3M $349.1M 0.0%
FMR, LLC 12.8M $334.8M 0.0%
Van Eck Associates Corporation 12.4M $323.8M 0.0%
Blackrock Inc. 12.1M $316.1M 0.0%
State Street Corporation 10.0M $261.9M 0.0%
Invesco Ltd. 9.0M $235.0M 0.0%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc 6.4M $167.9M 0.0%
ProShare Advisors, LLC 6.0M $156.8M 0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 5.5M $142.9M 0.0%

Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
1
11
3
17 analysts

2 Months Ago
2
1
12
2
17 analysts

Last Month
2
2
9
3
3
19 analysts

Current
2
1
11
3
17 analysts

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$14.4B
Price/Book
2.94
Beta
0.346
Analysts
15
Total Revenue (TTM)
$3.9B
Total Debt
$2.7B
Earnings Growth
+1.3%
Dividend Yield
331.0%
Rec. Mean
2.94
Short Ratio
4.55
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
5,000

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite

Trade Consideration

The Opportunity
Score 43.0 (P53 — top 47.2% of scored tickers). Strong Moat. Ethical FAIL. 15 analysts at Hold.
Price: $27.68 | Target: $28.16 (+2%) | Fair Value: $34.00 (+23%)

Score
43

Moat
STRONG

Conviction
Standard

Upside
+2%

The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+2.0%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE20.4%
Forward P/E16.3
Market Cap$12.7B

Earnings Track Record
Date Estimate Reported Surprise
2026-06-04 $0.32 Pending
2026-03-04 $0.47 $0.58 +24.7%
2025-12-04 $0.48 $0.47 -1.5%
2025-08-28 $0.37 $0.36 -1.9%
2025-06-05 $0.34 $0.31 -9.8%
2025-03-05 $0.46 $0.57 +23.4%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $23.53 (-15%) | Entry: $27.68
Shares Cost Profit to Target R:R
To Consensus ($28.16, 15 analysts)
10 $276.80 +$4.80 (2%) 0.1R
50 $1,384.00 +$24.00 (2%) 0.1R
100 $2,768.00 +$48.00 (2%) 0.1R
To Fair Value ($34.00)
10 $276.80 +$63.20 (23%) 1.5R
50 $1,384.00 +$316.00 (23%) 1.5R
100 $2,768.00 +$632.00 (23%) 1.5R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.55 days to cover)

The Verdict
Brown–Forman holds a strong competitive moat.

Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
32.0
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8

Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.88
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Worst Day

Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID

Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal

Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.0x
Short Interest

Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone

Piotroski F-Score

Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency

Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
Ticker Correlation
STZ 0.541
TAP 0.478
DGE.L 0.464
XLP 0.430
PEP 0.414
Inverse Correlated
Ticker Correlation
4326.SR -0.162
CLEANING.KW -0.153
4142.SR -0.150
LIANY -0.135
CRWD -0.134

Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Jul
Worst Month
Jun
Fri-Mon Effect
0.31898754248929884

Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-5.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
25.0%
Consistency

Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker’s recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-10.3%
3M Return
-15.8%
6M Return
-7.5%
12M Return
-23.4%
Momentum Rank
#3897
Momentum Signal
DOWN

Related Tickers

Similar in Consumer Defensive

LWAY — Lifeway Foods, Inc. ✓ BTI — British American Tobacco p.l.c. STZ — Constellation Brands LGCY — Legacy Education Inc. ✓ GIS — General Mills

Also in TE500

NEM — Newmont ✓ NU — Nu Holdings Ltd. PTC — PTC Inc. ✓ SBNY — Signature Bank EXE — Expand Energy ✓
Discover More
Alpha Insights Market Intelligence Titan Watch Ethical Screener Insider Intelligence Track Record Ethical Finance Zakat Calculator Iran Oil Tracker Foundry (292 articles) Indicators Join Free →

Get our weekly market brief free.