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The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Wynn Resorts
WYNN · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $9.1B · 28,500 employees
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
88.42 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-10
Screened 2026-09-10 · the tape above runs as of 09:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Wynn Resorts holds its Markdown at $88.42. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 226 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-10
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 226 days
Price at the screen
$88.42
Valuation
21.20 trailing · 17.09 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.99
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity screen
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Business activity: Casinos & Gaming
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 40% discount to our $123.42 fair value, 6.90% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-10 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 39.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 20 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +50% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-10 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Wynn pulls in high rollers but fails the screen
Wynn Resorts runs the flashiest casinos from Macau to Boston, where every spin of the wheel and hotel suite keeps the cash registers humming. Revenue is up 9 percent and the forward multiple sits at a reasonable 18 times, yet none of that matters once the ethical screen flags the core business of gambling.
We pass for one clear reason. The activity screen exists to keep us out of sectors that profit directly from addictive behaviour, and Wynn fails it outright. Analyst targets above 130 dollars and a 30 percent gap to our own fair value make no difference when the ethical line is crossed.
Cyclical travel swings and thin 5 percent margins add further uncertainty in a sector that can turn fast. The moat remains unknown and the price offers no protection against those swings.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
WYNN trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-17Markdown · changed$88.42-12.9%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 12.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (18 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $136.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (18 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $136.
2026-07-18Markdown$104.48+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (18 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $136.
2026-07-03Markdown$104.48+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$104.48Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
