TRNS
Transcat, Inc.
Industrials · Specialty Business Services · NGM
$73.02
Close 2026-05-23
✓ ETHICAL PASS
WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$681.4M
Trailing P/E
85.91
Forward P/E
35.36
Rev Growth
+25.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
ROE
2.7%
Analyst Target
$101.33
Recommendation
NONE
Ethical Screen
| Business Activity | PASS |
| Debt Ratio (0.20%) | PASS |
| Cash Ratio (0.01%) | PASS |
| Receivables Ratio (0.00%) | PASS |
| Revenue Ratio (0.00%) | PASS |
| Overall | PASS |
Score Valuation: 30.5
Score Quality: 47.0
Score Combined: 39.9
Fair Value Est: $30.97 · Margin of Safety: -57.6%
Opportunity Scores
Valuation27.0
Quality29.3
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet89.1
Debt Purity40.4
Liquid Purity98.5
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance75.0
Tier: WATCH · Score: 33.5 · Rank: #4855
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
| Date | EPS Est. | Reported EPS | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | 0.56 | Pending | -- |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.32 | 0.26 | -17.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.40 | 0.59 | +49.0% |
| 2025-05-19 | 0.57 | 0.64 | +12.3% |
| 2025-01-27 | 0.50 | 0.45 | -10.0% |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.65 | 0.52 | -19.4% |
| 2024-07-29 | 0.78 | 0.68 | -12.3% |
Quarterly Financials
| Period | Revenue | Net Income | EBITDA | Gross Profit | Op. Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | $83.9M | -$1.1M | $7.2M | $25.3M | $88.0K | -0.12 |
| 2025-09-30 | $82.3M | $1.3M | $9.8M | $26.8M | $3.5M | 0.14 |
| 2025-06-30 | $76.4M | $3.3M | $10.6M | $25.8M | $5.3M | 0.35 |
| 2025-03-31 | $77.1M | $4.5M | $12.4M | $25.9M | $6.9M | 0.48 |
| 2024-12-31 | $66.8M | $2.4M | $7.8M | $19.7M | $2.1M | 0.26 |
Insider Transactions
| Date | Name | Role | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | WEST MICHAEL W | Chief Operating Officer | 1,725 | -- |
| 2026-03-27 | BARBATO THOMAS L. | Chief Financial Officer | 3,686 | -- |
| 2026-03-27 | CONROY THERESA A | Officer | 2,024 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | HASELEY GARY J | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | GILLETTE CHRISTOPHER P | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | DOMINACH OKSANA S | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | DEPERRIOR DAWN | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | CAIRNS CRAIG D. | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | KANIKI MBAGO M. | Director | 704 | -- |
| 2025-09-11 | LANGSTON CYNTHIA | Director | 704 | -- |
Top Institutional Holders
| Holder | Shares | Value | % Held |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neuberger Berman Group, LLC | 825.7K | $60.3M | 0.1% |
| Blackrock Inc. | 674.9K | $49.3M | 0.1% |
| Hood River Capital Management LLC | 614.6K | $44.9M | 0.1% |
| Royce & Associates LP | 614.3K | $44.9M | 0.1% |
| Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd | 545.5K | $39.8M | 0.1% |
| Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC | 512.5K | $37.4M | 0.1% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 407.2K | $29.7M | 0.0% |
| Barrow, Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss, LLC | 327.4K | $23.9M | 0.0% |
| Riverbridge Partners LLC | 310.5K | $22.7M | 0.0% |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | 297.7K | $21.7M | 0.0% |
Analyst Recommendations
2 Months Ago
4 analysts
Last Month
4 analysts
Current
4 analysts
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$812.0M
$812.0M
Price/Book
2.30
2.30
Beta
0.680
0.680
Analysts
3
3
Total Revenue (TTM)
$319.7M
$319.7M
Total Debt
$134.0M
$134.0M
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 39.9 (P43 — top 57.3% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical PASS. 3 analysts at None.
Price: $73.02 | Target: $101.33 (+39%) | Fair Value: $30.97 (+-58%)
Score
40
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+39%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+25.6%
Profit Margin2.5%
ROE2.7%
Forward P/E35.4
Market Cap$681.4M
Earnings Track Record
| Date | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | $0.56 | Pending | — |
| 2026-02-03 | $0.32 | $0.26 | -17.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | $0.49 | $0.44 | -10.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | $0.40 | $0.59 | +49.0% |
| 2025-05-19 | $0.57 | $0.64 | +12.3% |
| 2025-01-27 | $0.50 | $0.45 | -10.0% |
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $62.07 (-15%) | Entry: $73.02
| Shares | Cost | Profit to Target | R:R |
|---|---|---|---|
| To Consensus ($101.33, 3 analysts) | |||
| 10 | $730.20 | +$283.10 (39%) | 2.6R |
| 50 | $3,651.00 | +$1,415.50 (39%) | 2.6R |
| 100 | $7,302.00 | +$2,831.00 (39%) | 2.6R |
| To Fair Value ($30.97) | |||
| 10 | $730.20 | +$-420.50 (-58%) | -3.8R |
| 50 | $3,651.00 | +$-2,102.50 (-58%) | -3.8R |
| 100 | $7,302.00 | +$-4,205.00 (-58%) | -3.8R |
Risk Factors
- Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
Transcat, Inc. passes all ethical screens, holds a weak competitive moat, and is growing revenue at +25.6%.
Quantitative Grade
A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.
D
Quant Score
36.8
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile
How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.
VaR 95%
-4.6%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-7.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
—
Sortino Ratio
-0.72
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-63.9%
Worst Day
—
Forward Outlook
Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.
30d Prob Up
—
90d Prob Up
—
Median Return 30d
—
Liquidity Score
57
Liquidity Grade
MODERATE
Trend & Momentum
What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?
Kalman Trend
—
Trend Strength
—
Momentum Signal
—
HMM Regime
—
RSI Signal
—
Technical Signals
Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.
MA Crossover
GOLDEN_CROSS
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
—
Relative Volume
1.5x
Short Interest
—
Financial Health
Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.
Altman Z-Score
—
—
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
—
Earnings Beat Rate
25.0%
Earnings Consistency
—
Correlations
These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.
Most Correlated
| Ticker | Correlation |
|---|---|
| UFPI | 0.424 |
| IWM | 0.417 |
| FELE | 0.382 |
| NPO | 0.382 |
| XLI | 0.381 |
Inverse Correlated
| Ticker | Correlation |
|---|---|
| ABK.KW | -0.141 |
| AMLAK.AE | -0.123 |
| 9999.HK | -0.120 |
| OULAFUEL.KW | -0.116 |
| 4326.SR | -0.115 |
Seasonality
Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.
Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Jan
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.5107258135773189
Earnings Drift
After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.
Avg Drift After Beat
-0.8%
Beat Drift Positive %
0.0%
Consistency
—
Momentum Rankings
How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.
1M Return
-1.9%
3M Return
-4.1%
6M Return
+42.2%
12M Return
-16.6%
Momentum Rank
#2042
Momentum Signal
FLAT