PONY
Pony AI Inc.
Technology · Information Technology Services · NMS
$8.89
Close 2026-05-22
✓ ETHICAL PASS
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$3.9B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
-14.73
Rev Growth
-18.0%
Profit Margin
-148.9%
ROE
-5.7%
Analyst Target
$21.65
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.30%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Valuation: 33.0
Score Quality: 15.0
Score Combined: 32.5

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation50.0
Quality0.0
Cash Flow50.0
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet66.7
Debt Purity98.7
Liquid Purity8.3
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance72.5
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 50.0 · Rank: #1870
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-05-26-0.13Pending--
2026-03-26-0.15-0.12+21.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2025-12-31$29.1M$23.4M-$73.9M$3.7M-$73.9M0.06
2025-09-30$25.4M-$61.3M-$69.7M$4.7M-$69.7M-0.16
2025-06-30$21.5M-$53.1M-$61.3M$3.5M-$61.3M-0.14
2025-03-31$14.0M-$43.0M-$56.0M$2.3M-$56.0M-0.12
2024-12-31$35.5M-$180.9M-$173.1M$7.5M-$173.1M-0.99
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-30WANG HAOJUNChief Financial Officer18,283$158.8K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
FMR, LLC13.9M$124.1M0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC7.9M$70.2M0.0%
HSG Holding Ltd7.5M$67.2M0.0%
TMT General Partner Ltd6.9M$61.9M0.0%
Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board6.5M$57.9M0.0%
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO6.4M$56.7M0.0%
Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd.4.3M$38.1M0.0%
Aspex Management (HK) Ltd4.1M$36.9M0.0%
IDG China Venture Capital Fund IV Associates, LP4.0M$35.6M0.0%
Lingotto Investment Management LLP3.3M$29.7M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
14
2
18 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
14
2
18 analysts
Last Month
2
12
15 analysts
Current
2
14
2
18 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$2.8B
Price/Book
2.34
Analysts
16
Total Revenue (TTM)
$90.0M
Total Debt
$16.5M
Rec. Mean
1.33

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 32.5 (P21 — top 78.9% of scored tickers). Ethical PASS. 16 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $8.89 | Target: $21.65 (+144%)
Score
32
Moat
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+144%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-18.0%
Profit Margin-148.9%
ROE-5.7%
Forward P/E-14.7
Market Cap$3.9B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-05-26$-0.13Pending
2026-03-26$-0.15$-0.12+21.6%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $7.56 (-15%) | Entry: $8.89
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($21.65, 16 analysts)
10$88.90+$127.60 (144%)9.6R
50$444.50+$638.00 (144%)9.6R
100$888.99+$1,276.00 (144%)9.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Pony AI Inc. passes all ethical screens.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
35.0
Risk Grade
Layers
7
Quality: HIGH_VOL,CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-9.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-12.9%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.28
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-82.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
57
Liquidity Grade
MODERATE
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
2.0x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
Q0.449
WYFI0.437
LGN0.419
BETA0.402
BLSH0.400
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BASREC.BH-0.307
AWK-0.184
ED-0.181
UGIC.BH-0.176
UBL.KA-0.174
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Sep
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.31282318901659584
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-12.6%
3M Return
-29.7%
6M Return
-17.8%
12M Return
-54.6%
Momentum Rank
#4257
Momentum Signal
STRONG_DOWN

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