The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Adeia Inc.
ADEA · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.9B · 150 employees
Adeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and semiconductor intellectual property licensing platform company in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 04:07 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price16.93 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Fair valueUnder review: our model's value is 2.12x the price, above our 2.00x limit.
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.51)
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (2 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: range not available (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.51, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
Adeia Inc. holds its Distribution at $16.93. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 42 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 42 days |
| Price at the screen | $16.93 |
| Valuation | 16.43 trailing · 12.43 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.01 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 41.16% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 41.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 6.12% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 6.1% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 9.79% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 9.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Adeia's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 41% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Our model's value is 2.12x the price, above our 2.00x limit. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
The Street's RangeThird-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +116% from the screen price.
Where our models see it going: no fair-value estimate yet, range not available, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPatent landlord licensing tech at a bargain price
Picture the quiet owner of the patents inside every smart TV and chip, collecting steady fees while the hardware makers battle it out. Adeia sits in that position, licensing media and semiconductor intellectual property across the globe. The business clears 27 percent profit margins, delivers 29 percent return on equity and is growing revenue at 20 percent, all while trading at 16.4 times forward earnings.
That combination produces a 53 percent margin of safety against our fair value of 38.88, well above the current 25.38 share price and the four-analyst median target of 38. The ethical screen clears cleanly, and the licensing model avoids many of the heavy capital demands that weigh on typical software firms.
Yet the moat remains unproven, leaving room for patent challenges or shifts in licensing norms that could erode collections. Currency moves across its Asian and European markets add another layer of volatility that the numbers do not fully capture.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 12.4xreasonably valued |
| Trailing P/E | 16.4xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 1.03 |
| EPS, forward | 1.36 |
| Revenue growth | -8.2%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 25.0%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 25.9%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 10.18% |
| Dividend yield | 63.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.81moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 3.64comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.01moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.11% |
| 52-week range | 11.61 - 34.34 |
| Market cap | $1.9B |
| Employees | 150 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeADEA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Roku, Google, Tubi, LG Electronics, Sony Pictures, and Many More Leading Streaming Executives to Gather in California for Parks Associates' Ninth Annual Future of Video Yahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Adeia Stock In Focus After Media License Renewal Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Adeia Enters into Multi-Year IP License Renewal with TCL Yahoo Finance · 14d ago
- Why Did IBM Stock Beat Gartner Over Five Years? Yahoo Finance · 15d ago
- What Gave IBM Stock Its Edge Over Cognizant? Yahoo Finance · 16d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $31.78 | -3.3% | $0.05 | $969 | -3.1% |
| 2 months | $26.82 | +14.6% | $0.05 | $1,148 | +14.8% |
| 3 months | $22.78 | +34.9% | $0.10 | $1,354 | +35.4% |
| 6 months | $13.51 | +127.6% | $0.10 | $2,283 | +128.3% |
| 1 year | $13.71 | +124.1% | $0.20 | $2,256 | +125.6% |
| 2 years | $11.20 | +174.3% | $0.40 | $2,779 | +177.9% |
| 3 years | $9.92 | +209.7% | $0.60 | $3,157 | +215.7% |
| 5 years | $8.85 | +247.4% | $1.00 | $3,587 | +258.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ADEA does next, these words stay.
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