Adeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and semiconductor intellectual property licensing platform company in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
24.90 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Adeia Inc. holds its Distribution at $24.90. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 7 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 7 days
Price at the screen
$24.90
Valuation
22.84 trailing · 15.56 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.96
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
41.16%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 41.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
6.12%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 6.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
9.79%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 9.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 66.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +67% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Patent landlord licensing tech at a bargain price
Picture the quiet owner of the patents inside every smart TV and chip, collecting steady fees while the hardware makers battle it out. Adeia sits in that position, licensing media and semiconductor intellectual property across the globe. The business clears 27 percent profit margins, delivers 29 percent return on equity and is growing revenue at 20 percent, all while trading at 16.4 times forward earnings.
That combination produces a 53 percent margin of safety against our fair value of 38.88, well above the current 25.38 share price and the four-analyst median target of 38. The ethical screen clears cleanly, and the licensing model avoids many of the heavy capital demands that weigh on typical software firms.
Yet the moat remains unproven, leaving room for patent challenges or shifts in licensing norms that could erode collections. Currency moves across its Asian and European markets add another layer of volatility that the numbers do not fully capture.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ADEA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-20Markup · changed$28.23+11.2%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
2026-07-20Distribution$25.38-20.5%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
2026-07-18Distribution$31.92+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
2026-07-16Distribution$31.92+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 124%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $37.
2026-07-03Distribution$31.92+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$31.92Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
