PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
Materials · Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials · US
$222.82
Data: 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 85.7%
Key Metrics

How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter

Market Cap
$20.0B
Total market value of the company
Trailing P/E
27.30
Premium valuation
Forward P/E
18.50
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+10.6%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
ROE
N/A
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$234.30
+5% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
BUY
Consensus view from 10 analysts covering this stock
About Packaging Corporation of America

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

https://www.packagingcorp.com

Country: United States Employees: 16,800 Industry: Packaging & Containers
Ethical Screening

Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance

Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
40.7% FAIL
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.6% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
16.6% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.0% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Valuation
Fair Value Est.
$243.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
Margin of Safety
8.3%
Slight discount to fair value
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
Percentile
41.2th
Ranks in the top 59% of our 13,571 screened universe
Ethical Score
10.0
Valuation Score
67.0
Quality Score
40.0
Combined
36.9

Trading near fair value at $225 (estimated $243). Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 5% of screened stocks.

Quantitative Intelligence

Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data

Regime
MARKUP
Price trending up with increasing momentum
Sharpe Ratio
0.592
Good returns relative to risk taken
Kelly Fraction
0.0484
Modest edge detected — smaller position warranted
Calmar Ratio
0.448
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
12.7%
Historical annualised return based on price data
Max Drawdown
-28.4%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
HMM State
SIDEWAYS
Price consolidating — no clear directional bias
Days in State
119
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data

Trading characteristics and market positioning

Beta
0.83
Less volatile than the market — more defensive
52W High
$249.51
11% below the year high
52W Low
$184.76
21% above the year low
Avg Volume
980,240
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
Short Ratio
4.3
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
5.1%
Moderate short interest
Div Yield
223.0%
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
EPS (TTM)
$8.22
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value

Debt/Equity
0.95
Moderate leverage — manageable
Current Ratio
3.07
Strong balance sheet — comfortably covers short-term obligations
Quick Ratio
1.79
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
21.8%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
13.4%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
Free Cash Flow
$391M
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$9.2B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$736M
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Analyst Coverage
Analysts
10
Target High
$258.00
Target Median
$234.30
Target Low
$167.00
Recent Insider Activity

SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling

45
NEUTRAL
Mixed insider activity. 0 purchases and 0 sales in the last 90 days — no clear directional signal. Political selling noted.
Date Insider Title Type Shares Value
2026-05-12 PORTER ROGER B Director 591 —
2026-05-12 MENCOFF SAMUEL M Director 591 —
2026-05-12 GOWLAND KAREN E Director 591 —
2026-05-12 HARMAN DONNA A Director 591 —
2026-05-12 BEEBE CHERYL K Director 591 —
2026-05-12 SOULELES THOMAS S Director 591 —
2026-05-12 FARRINGTON DUANE C Director 591 —
2026-05-12 LYONS ROBERT C Director 591 —
2026-03-27 OLIVIER DARLA J Officer 2,433 —
2026-03-27 SHIRLEY DONALD R. Officer 6,732 —
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence
Political Trading Activity

Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument

Date Politician Party Type Amount
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Sale 1K–15K
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence
Explore the Ethical Screener View Track Record

Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2025-12-31

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