An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets.
VERDICT
The label
Distribution
read at $198.99
ITT Inc holds its Distribution at $198.99.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-29
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 40 days
Price
$198.99
Valuation
34.85 trailing · 21.55 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.27
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$198.99
34.85 P/E · 21.55 fwd
Our fair value
$217.32
9% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$250.00
+26% to current
Target low $175.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $271.00
▲ current $198.99 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$198.99
you are here
Conservative
$157.50
-21%
Analyst avg
$250.00
+26%
Our fair value
$217.32
+9%
Analyst high
$271.00
+36%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
32.70%
Profit margin
10.80%
Debt to equity
83.55
Analyst consensus
Strong Buy · 13 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashInterest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.Fail
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.Fail
Revenue purity of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.Fail
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Engineered Parts Quietly Powering Key Industries
Picture the brake caliper on a freight train or the valve inside a refinery pump. ITT makes those critical components across transport, industrial and energy markets. Revenue rose 33% while the firm still clears a basic ethical screen.
The business trades at 20.8 times forward earnings with an 11% profit margin and 12% ROE. Our fair value sits at 215.53 against the current 192.51 price, giving a modest 12% margin of safety. Yet the narrow moat and opportunity rating of none keep us from seeing a compelling edge.
Thirteen analysts point to a 246 median target, but industrial demand can swing sharply. A slowdown in any segment could compress multiples quickly even if the growth rate holds for now. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $245. Entered 2026-08-02 · Accumulation
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $245.
2026-07-18Distribution$189.13+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $245.
2026-07-03Distribution$189.13+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$189.13Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
POLITICAL
The political ledger · congressional disclosures
Disclosures naming ITT
Date
Politician
Party
Type
Amount
7 Apr2026
Scott Peters
Democrat
sell
250K–500K
30 Apr2026
Dave McCormick
Republican
sell
100K–250K
26 May2026
Dave McCormick
Republican
sell
100K–250K
2026-04-07
Scott Peters
Democrat
Sale
250K–500K
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$206.41
-10.5%
$0.39
$896
-10.4%
2 months
$216.46
-14.7%
$0.39
$855
-14.5%
3 months
$186.18
-0.8%
$0.39
$994
-0.6%
6 months
$174.18
+6.0%
$0.77
$1,065
+6.5%
1 year
$150.51
+22.7%
$1.47
$1,237
+23.7%
2 years
$125.31
+47.4%
$2.81
$1,496
+49.6%
3 years
$83.64
+120.8%
$4.03
$2,256
+125.6%
5 years
$88.13
+109.5%
$6.33
$2,167
+116.7%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ITT does next, these words stay.
ITT Inc · ITT · Distribution · $198.99
Recorded 2026-07-29 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
