Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.39, read 2026-10-27
Ethical passes the values gate
Price24.82 USD
Fair value20.37
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-28Read Accumulation24.53+1.2% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after an 8% slide in 4 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown26.53-6.4% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after a 12% slide in 5 weeks
2026-08-27Read Markup29.99-17.2% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 28% rise in 8 weeks
2026-07-02Read Distribution23.47+5.8% to today First review on file: Distribution
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
DRDGOLD Limited holds its Accumulation at $24.82. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 26 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-27
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 26 days
Price at the screen
$24.82
Valuation
8.49 trailing · 36.07 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.48
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.31%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
9.12%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 9.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
2.50%
Below 5%
Only 2.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Clears, in Plain English
DRDGOLD clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its debt is near-nil, and interest is about 2% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-27. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when DRD's ethical verdict changes
Today DRD passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 16.9% above the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to South Africa and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
DRD trades on the NYSE (the company is based in South Africa). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-10-21Markdown$24.91+0.9%Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-10-14Markdown$24.69-6.9%Entry 7
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 6.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-10-02Markdown · changed$26.53-11.5%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46. Since the last review it its composite score rose.
2026-08-27Markup · changed$29.99+50.7%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 50.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-07-26Distribution$19.90-15.2%Entry 4
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 15.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-07-18Distribution$23.47+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-07-03Distribution$23.47+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$23.47Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
