EXE
Expand Energy
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · US
$92.07
Data: 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Key Metrics

How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter

Market Cap
$23.2B
Total market value of the company
Trailing P/E
7.21
Very cheap relative to earnings
Forward P/E
9.89
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+41.0%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
24.9%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
ROE
17.6%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$132.12
+43% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
BUY
Consensus view from 25 analysts covering this stock
About Expand Energy

Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent natural gas production company in the United States. The company engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It holds interests in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; the Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia; and the Haynesville and Bossier Shales in Louisiana and Texas. Expand Energy Corporation was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

https://www.expandenergy.com

Country: United States Employees: 1,600 Industry: Oil & Gas E&P
Ethical Screening

Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance

Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
17.9% PASS
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.0% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
7.0% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.0% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Valuation
Fair Value Est.
$293.86
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
Margin of Safety
68.7%
Deep discount to fair value — significant undervaluation
Rating
STRONG OPPORTUNITY
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
Percentile
99.9th
Ranks in the top 0% of our 13,571 screened universe
Ethical Score
91.5
Valuation Score
95.0
Quality Score
84.0
Combined
85.2

Trading at $97 against a fair value of $294, a 67% discount. Moderate competitive position. 25% profit margins. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 99% of screened stocks.

Quantitative Intelligence

Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data

Regime
ACCUMULATION
Smart money appears to be building positions quietly
Sharpe Ratio
0.320
Positive but modest risk-adjusted returns
Kelly Fraction
0.0151
Marginal edge — very small allocation suggested
Calmar Ratio
0.227
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
5.2%
Historical annualised return based on price data
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
HMM State
BULL
Statistical model sees bullish momentum
Days in State
6
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data

Trading characteristics and market positioning

Beta
0.35
Very low correlation to market moves
52W High
$126.62
27% below the year high
52W Low
$91.02
1% above the year low
Avg Volume
3,804,035
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
Short Ratio
1.7
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
2.4%
Low short interest — limited bearish positioning
Div Yield
3.3%
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
EPS (TTM)
$13.44
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value

Debt/Equity
0.26
Conservative use of debt — low financial risk
Current Ratio
1.11
Adequate but worth monitoring
Quick Ratio
0.89
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
48.0%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
34.0%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
Free Cash Flow
$1.7B
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$13.0B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$3.2B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Analyst Coverage
Analysts
25
Target High
$165.00
Target Median
$132.12
Target Low
$100.00
Recent Insider Activity

SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling

Date Insider Title Type Shares Value
2026-05-07 TEUNISSEN MARCEL Chief Financial Officer 2,000 $192,860
2026-04-06 TEUNISSEN MARCEL Chief Financial Officer 5,144 —
2026-03-13 LACY CHRISTOPHER W General Counsel 5,693 —
2026-03-13 VIETS JOSHUA J Chief Financial Officer 10,815 —
2026-03-13 LARSON GREGORY M Officer 2,372 —
2026-03-13 TURCO DANIEL F Officer 5,693 —
2026-03-13 RAIFORD BRITTANY Chief Financial Officer 3,558 —
2026-03-13 VIETS JOSHUA J Chief Financial Officer 14,736 —
2026-03-13 LARSON GREGORY M Officer 953 —
2026-03-06 WICHTERICH MICHAEL A. Chief Executive Officer 2,000 $215,000
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence
Explore the Ethical Screener View Track Record

Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2026-05-15

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