The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 46.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $4.
Trivago NV ADR
TRVG · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $399M · 893 employees
trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2025-12-31
Screened 2025-12-31 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markup label.
Trivago NV ADR holds its Markup at $5.64. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 10 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 10 days |
| Price at the screen | $5.64 |
| Valuation | 33.18 trailing · 48.45 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.54 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 10.14% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 10.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 3.31% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 3.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 54.51% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 54.5% of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | 0.45% | Below 5% | Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2025-12-31 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 50.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus None. The average target sits −43% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2025-12-31 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 48.4xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 33.2xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 0.17 |
| EPS, forward | 0.12 |
| Revenue growth | +15.1%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 2.1%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 5.9%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 13.43% |
| Debt to equity | 0.17minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.91healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 0.54steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.00% |
| 52-week range | 2.59 - 5.70 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $399M |
| Employees | 893 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Germany and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeTRVG trades on NASDAQ (the company is based in Germany). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $4.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $3.26 | +44.5% | · | $1,445 | +44.5% |
| 2 months | $2.69 | +75.1% | · | $1,751 | +75.1% |
| 3 months | $2.81 | +67.6% | · | $1,676 | +67.6% |
| 6 months | $2.96 | +59.1% | · | $1,591 | +59.1% |
| 1 year | $4.29 | +9.8% | · | $1,098 | +9.8% |
| 2 years | $2.23 | +111.2% | · | $2,112 | +111.2% |
| 3 years | $2.69 | +75.1% | $2.83 | $2,801 | +180.1% |
| 5 years | $9.01 | -47.8% | $2.83 | $836 | -16.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TRVG does next, these words stay.
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