NAS10029,447+1.73%S&P7,638+1.14%GOLD$4,412+0.27%BTC$77,965+2.04%VIX15.48+0.26%live tape · as of 15:00 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing
Under Armour, Inc.
UAA · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $2.1B · 6,200 employees
Under Armour, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages designs, developing, marketing, and distributing performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and youth.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
4.96 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Under Armour, Inc. holds its Markdown at $4.96. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 11 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 11 days
Price at the screen
$4.96
Valuation
N/A trailing · 25.26 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.62
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
43.93%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 43.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
22.44%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 22.4% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 26.7% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 19 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +11% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Under Armour's Numbers Tell a Clear Story
Picture a runner still paying top dollar for last season's kit while their form slips. Under Armour sits in exactly that spot. Revenue is already shrinking, margins sit at minus ten per cent, and return on equity is deeply negative, yet the shares trade at thirty times forward earnings and nearly double our fair value.
We pass for the simplest reason. The price offers no margin of safety, the business shows no growth, and the market's hold rating plus six-dollar median target already price in modest hopes. Nothing in the numbers suggests the gap will close in the company's favour.
Apparel cycles can turn quickly, and a loss-making balance sheet leaves little room for error when consumer spending slows. Ethical screen passes, yet that alone does not move the valuation needle.
Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
UAA trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-15Markdown · changed$5.15-15.7%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $6.
2026-08-15Distribution$6.11+1.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $6.
2026-07-18Distribution$6.05+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $6.
2026-07-03Distribution$6.05+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$6.05Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.