The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 6.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 93%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $665. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
United Therapeutics Corp
UTHR · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $21.0B · 1,400 employees
United Therapeutics Corporation engages in the development and commercialization of products to address the unmet medical needs of patients with chronic and life-threatening diseases in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-03
Screened 2026-09-03 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 490.24 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 543.04, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders insiders sold, $4,712,580, latest filing 2026-09-17
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
United Therapeutics Corp holds its Markdown at $490.24. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 26 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 26 days |
| Price at the screen | $490.24 |
| Valuation | 17.57 trailing · 16.32 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.56 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Revenue purity
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 22.55% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 22.5% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 24.20% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 24.2% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 6.03% | Below 5% | 6.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 10.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 12 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +40% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsRare Disease Treatments Hit Revenue Headwinds
Picture a patient in a clinic waiting for the next dose of an inhaled therapy that keeps a rare lung condition in check. United Therapeutics built its name on exactly those treatments, yet revenue has started to slip by 2 percent while the business still clears a 41 percent profit margin and 20 percent return on equity.
The numbers on paper look orderly, with a forward multiple of 16 times and a narrow moat that keeps some pricing power. Ethical screens are cleared and analysts lean buy, but the flat or falling top line and limited competitive edge leave no real margin of safety worth chasing at current levels.
Risk sits with any further slowdown in prescriptions or fresh competition that could compress those margins faster than the valuation gap suggests. Currency moves and regulatory shifts in specialty drugs add another layer of uncertainty. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 16.3xreasonably valued |
| Trailing P/E | 17.6xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 27.90 |
| EPS, forward | 30.03 |
| Revenue growth | -1.9%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 41.6%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 19.3%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.65% |
| Current ratio | 5.73comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.56steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.06% |
| 52-week range | 375.61 - 609.35 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $21.0B |
| Employees | 1,400 |
The risks · The things to watch: as a drug manufacturers - specialty & generic name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeUTHR trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 93%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $665.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 93%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $665.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Rothblatt Martine A | CHAIRPERSON, CEO | S - Sale+OE | 9,500 | $4,712,580 |
| 2026-09-17 | Mahon Paul A | EVP, GC | S - Sale+OE | 8,300 | $4,129,608 |
| 2026-09-11 | Rothblatt Martine A | CHAIRPERSON, CEO | S - Sale+OE | 9,500 | $4,757,773 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $569.88 | -4.5% | · | $955 | -4.5% |
| 2 months | $571.73 | -4.8% | · | $952 | -4.8% |
| 3 months | $532.82 | +2.1% | · | $1,021 | +2.1% |
| 6 months | $488.51 | +11.4% | · | $1,114 | +11.4% |
| 1 year | $281.36 | +93.4% | · | $1,934 | +93.4% |
| 2 years | $275.25 | +97.7% | · | $1,977 | +97.7% |
| 3 years | $228.49 | +138.1% | · | $2,381 | +138.1% |
| 5 years | $179.12 | +203.8% | · | $3,038 | +203.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever UTHR does next, these words stay.
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