An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Sony Group Corporation designs, develops, produces, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for the consumer, professional, and industrial markets in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pac…
VERDICT
The label
Markup
read at $23.10
Sony Group Corp ADR holds its Markup at $23.10.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-06
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 18 days
Price
$23.10
Valuation
19.58 trailing · 19.41 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.76
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$23.10
19.58 P/E · 19.41 fwd
Our fair value
$23.93
4% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$31.50
+36% to current
Target low $23.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $34.00
▲ current $23.10 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$23.10
you are here
Conservative
$20.70
-10%
Analyst avg
$31.50
+36%
Our fair value
$23.93
+4%
Analyst high
$34.00
+47%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
8.20%
Profit margin
-1.75%
Debt to equity
21.32
Analyst consensus
Strong Buy · 4 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
It depends which standard you follow. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor, and on this company they disagree. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Why the two disagree. They fall out over one thing only: the company’s debt. Our stricter standard measures that debt against what the company owns, and it works out too high to pass. The common standard measures the same debt against what the company is worth on the stock market, where it works out low enough to pass. Every other check, the two agree on. So in practice, most halal apps would treat this as fine to hold, while our stricter view would not — and which line you follow is between you and your scholar.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is just 10.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money. Against market value it is 1,355.2%, under the 30% line the market-value standard uses — so that standard clears it.Divergent
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 7.5% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 25.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Sony Gadgets Fill Homes Yet Numbers Disappoint
Walk into any living room and you will find Sony gear from game consoles to cameras. The company still grows revenue at 8% a year and clears our ethical screen, yet it carries only a narrow moat and posts a negative 3% profit margin. With a forward P/E of 17.7 times and 12% ROE the business looks ordinary rather than compelling, so we see no opportunity despite the gap to our fair value estimate.
Strong analyst targets sit well above the current price but we focus on the thin competitive edge and weak bottom line instead. Japan-based consumer electronics remains a tough arena where scale alone rarely delivers durable returns.
Currency moves and relentless rivals in every category add real volatility that a narrow moat cannot fully offset. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis. Entered 2026-07-31 · Distribution
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-31Distribution$20.98+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-28Markup$20.98+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-27Markup$20.98+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-26Markup$20.98+0.0%Entry 6
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-25Markup$20.98-0.7%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-24Markup$21.12+2.9%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-18Markup$20.53+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-07-03Markup$20.53+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$20.53Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
POLITICAL
The political ledger · congressional disclosures
Disclosures naming SONY
Date
Politician
Party
Type
Amount
2025-12-26
Steve Cohen
Democrat
Purchase
1K–15K
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$21.29
-2.5%
·
$975
-2.5%
2 months
$21.05
-1.4%
·
$986
-1.4%
3 months
$21.46
-3.3%
·
$967
-3.3%
6 months
$26.73
-22.3%
·
$777
-22.3%
1 year
$26.20
-20.8%
·
$792
-20.8%
2 years
$17.02
+22.0%
$0.14
$1,228
+22.8%
3 years
$19.44
+6.8%
$0.25
$1,081
+8.1%
5 years
$19.43
+6.8%
$0.46
$1,092
+9.2%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SONY does next, these words stay.
Sony Group Corp ADR · SONY · Markup · $23.10
Recorded 2026-08-06 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
