Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. holds its Accumulation at $51.58. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 28 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 28 days
Price at the screen
$51.58
Valuation
12.28 trailing · 10.68 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.64
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
39.06%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 39.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
3.02%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 3.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
37.07%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 37.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.91%
Below 5%
Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 40.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Marketplace for Oversized Goods Trades at a Steep Discount
Every time a retailer moves a container of furniture from a factory in Asia to a buyer in Europe, the journey runs through fragmented payments, discovery and last-mile logistics that standard platforms ignore. GigaCloud stitches those pieces into one B2B marketplace and the numbers show clear momentum.
This is a business growing revenue 32% a year, delivering an 11% profit margin and 32% return on equity while trading on a 7.7 times forward earnings multiple. The valuation sits well below the stated fair value, the ethical screen is cleared and the setup leaves substantial room on paper.
Risk sits with the unknown competitive position, thin analyst coverage and a median target of only 57 dollars. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GCT trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-30Accumulation$51.58+35.7%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 35.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $57.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $57.
2026-07-18Markdown$34.10+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $57.
2026-07-03Markdown$34.10+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$34.10Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
