The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Fulgent Genetics Inc
FLGT · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $573M · 1,315 employees
Fulgent Genetics, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 08:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price20.10 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.20)
- Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 20.10 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 18.50, over the last year.
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.20, read 2026-10-24
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
Fulgent Genetics Inc holds its Distribution at $20.10. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 36 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 36 days |
| Price at the screen | $20.10 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -13.20 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.89 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Revenue purity
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 0.63% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 0.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 30.43% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 30.4% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 11.12% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 11.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 9.58% | Below 5% | 9.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Fulgent Genetics clears the business-activity screen, and its debt is near-nil. Where it falls short is income purity: around 10% of its income right now is interest earned on a large cash position, against a roughly 5% ceiling, so it does not pass. That reflects what it earns today, not the business itself, and it could clear the screen if its operating revenue grows and the interest share falls.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 8.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus None. The average target sits −8% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | -13.2x |
| EPS, trailing | -2.40 |
| EPS, forward | -1.53 |
| Revenue growth | -3.2%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | -23.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -6.9%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -18.50% |
| Debt to equity | 0.97moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 5.32comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.89steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.15% |
| 52-week range | 13.46 - 31.04 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $573M |
| Employees | 1,315 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeFLGT trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $18.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $15.82 | +19.7% | · | $1,197 | +19.7% |
| 2 months | $14.43 | +31.2% | · | $1,312 | +31.2% |
| 3 months | $14.68 | +29.0% | · | $1,290 | +29.0% |
| 6 months | $27.06 | -30.0% | · | $700 | -30.0% |
| 1 year | $21.78 | -13.1% | · | $869 | -13.1% |
| 2 years | $20.37 | -7.0% | · | $930 | -7.0% |
| 3 years | $38.04 | -50.2% | · | $498 | -50.2% |
| 5 years | $73.95 | -74.4% | · | $256 | -74.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever FLGT does next, these words stay.
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