ECC
Eagle Point Credit Company Inc.
Financial Services · Asset Management · NYQ
$4.02
Close 2026-05-18
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$531.5M
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
4.30
Rev Growth
+3.3%
Profit Margin
-56.4%
ROE
-11.2%
Analyst Target
$8.44
Recommendation
BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.73%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.08%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 25.0
Score Combined: 50.5
Fair Value Est: $14.03 · Margin of Safety: +248.9% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality10.4
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet91.5
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity77.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance52.0
Tier: SILVER · Score: 68.5 · Rank: #317
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-05-19-0.17-1.12-568.7%
2026-02-260.230.24+5.9%
2025-11-130.230.24+3.2%
2025-08-120.250.22-12.9%
2025-05-280.260.28+8.5%
2025-02-200.280.23-17.9%
2024-11-140.280.29+4.8%
2024-08-060.310.29-6.5%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2025-06-30$63.9M$61.6M0.46
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-18KO DANIEL WOther Executive57,165$200.1K
2026-03-13ONORIO KENNETH PChief Operating Officer110,000$411.4K
2024-11-18ONORIO KENNETH PChief Operating Officer10,000$89.9K
2024-08-13ONORIO KENNETH PChief Operating Officer300$2.9K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Stone Point Capital Llc5.8M$23.5M0.0%
Morgan Stanley5.4M$21.9M0.0%
Ares Management LLC1.1M$4.3M0.0%
Freestone Capital Holdings, LLC916.3K$3.7M0.0%
Blackstone Inc750.0K$3.0M0.0%
Pfg Investments, LLC 651.8K$2.6M0.0%
Legacy Wealth Managment, LLC/ID575.6K$2.3M0.0%
Virtus Investment Advisers, LLC467.8K$1.9M0.0%
International Assets Investment Management, LLC397.4K$1.6M0.0%
&Partners LLC287.2K$1.2M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
2
6 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
2
6 analysts
Last Month
5
6 analysts
Current
4
2
6 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$1.1B
Price/Book
0.71
Beta
0.349
Analysts
4
Total Revenue (TTM)
$204.0M
Total Debt
$388.7M
Dividend Yield
2978.0%
Rec. Mean
1.67

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 50.5 (P74 — top 25.9% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 4 analysts at Buy.
Price: $4.02 | Target: $8.44 (+110%) | Fair Value: $14.03 (+249%)
Score
50
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+110%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+3.3%
Profit Margin-56.4%
ROE-11.2%
Forward P/E4.3
Market Cap$531.5M
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-05-19$-0.17$-1.12-568.7%
2026-02-26$0.23$0.24+5.9%
2025-11-13$0.23$0.24+3.2%
2025-08-12$0.25$0.22-12.9%
2025-05-28$0.26$0.28+8.5%
2025-02-20$0.28$0.23-17.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $3.42 (-15%) | Entry: $4.02
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($8.44, 4 analysts)
10$40.20+$44.20 (110%)7.4R
50$201.00+$221.00 (110%)7.4R
100$402.00+$442.00 (110%)7.4R
To Fair Value ($14.03)
10$40.20+$100.10 (249%)16.7R
50$201.00+$500.50 (249%)16.7R
100$402.00+$1,001.00 (249%)16.7R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. holds a weak competitive moat and trades at a 248.9% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
58.4
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.94
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-49.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
57
Liquidity Grade
MODERATE
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Feb
Fri-Mon Effect
0.1461070408338219
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-1.7%
Beat Drift Positive %
25.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+4.0%
3M Return
+11.1%
6M Return
-14.3%
12M Return
-28.1%
Momentum Rank
#2849
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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