The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
CVR Energy, Inc.
CVI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $6.1B · 1,532 employees
CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in renewable fuels and petroleum refining and marketing, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 16:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price48.60 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.09)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $34.20 to $47.49, base estimate $41.30 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.09, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
CVR Energy, Inc. holds its Markup at $48.60. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 451 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 451 days |
| Price at the screen | $48.60 |
| Valuation | 90.64 trailing · 15.74 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.90 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 48.06% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 48.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 20.13% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 20.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.43% | Below 5% | Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
CVR Energy,'s business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 48% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades above our $41.30 fair value estimate, 55.50% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 17.7% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Underperform. The average target sits +3% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $41.30, with a range of $34.20 to $47.49, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it gives us pause
At 15.7x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 35% above our $41.30 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.
| Forward P/E | 15.7xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 90.6xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 0.67 |
| EPS, forward | 3.86 |
| Revenue growth | +55.5%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 0.8%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 24.3%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 3.51% |
| Dividend yield | 33.00% |
| Debt to equity | 2.42heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.42adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.90steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.19% |
| 52-week range | 19.62 - 63.51 |
| Market cap | $6.1B |
| Employees | 1,532 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeCVI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 4.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500; its composite score rose; dropped out of the Titan Ethical 500. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 9.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Is CVR Energy (CVI) Fully Valued Following Higher Earnings Estimates? Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
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- Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in CVR Energy Stock? Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-01 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $34.88 | -9.0% | $0.10 | $913 | -8.7% |
| 2 months | $30.56 | +3.9% | $0.10 | $1,042 | +4.2% |
| 3 months | $28.67 | +10.7% | $0.10 | $1,110 | +11.0% |
| 6 months | $31.13 | +2.0% | $0.10 | $1,023 | +2.3% |
| 1 year | $24.65 | +28.8% | $0.10 | $1,292 | +29.2% |
| 2 years | $26.45 | +20.0% | $0.60 | $1,223 | +22.3% |
| 3 years | $23.44 | +35.4% | $5.10 | $1,572 | +57.2% |
| 5 years | $13.54 | +134.3% | $13.30 | $3,325 | +232.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CVI does next, these words stay.
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