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The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

CVR Energy, Inc. logoCVR Energy, Inc.

CVI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $6.1B · 1,532 employees

CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in renewable fuels and petroleum refining and marketing, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
48.60 USD

Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 16:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price48.60 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readMarkup, as of 3 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.09)
  • Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $34.20 to $47.49, base estimate $41.30 (screen dated 2026-11-03).

Current read
Markup ?
Overvalued · screened 2026-11-03
  • Trend Markup
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 1.09, read 2026-11-02
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price48.60 USD
Fair value41.30
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readOvervaluedas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-30Read Markup56.82-14.5% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup after a 7% rise in 4 weeks
2026-10-02Read Accumulation53.15-8.6% to today Markup gives way to Accumulation after a 71% rise in 5 weeks
2026-08-26Read Markup31.15+56.0% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup
2026-07-02Read Distribution30.67+58.5% to today First review on file: Distribution

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markup label.

CVR Energy, Inc. holds its Markup at $48.60. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 451 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-03
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 451 days
Price at the screen$48.60
Valuation90.64 trailing · 15.74 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta0.90
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 48.06% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 48.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 20.13% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 20.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.43% Below 5% Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

CVR Energy,'s business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 48% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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Today CVI does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades above our $41.30 fair value estimate, 55.50% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

34.20Conservative41.30Base case47.49Growth case 48.60Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 17.7% above the base estimate.

The Street's Range
38.00Street low 50.00Street average 53.00Street high 48.60Price

Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Underperform. The average target sits +3% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $41.30, with a range of $34.20 to $47.49, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At 15.7x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 35% above our $41.30 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E15.7xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E90.6xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead
EPS, trailing0.67
EPS, forward3.86
Revenue growth+55.5%growing very fast
Profit margin0.8%barely profitable
Return on equity24.3%an exceptional return on shareholder capital
FCF yield3.51%
Dividend yield33.00%
Debt to equity2.42heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio1.42adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta0.90steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.19%
52-week range19.62 - 63.51
Market cap$6.1B
Employees1,532

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

CVI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-03 Markup $58.37 +0.0% Entry 16

The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-02 Markup $58.37 +0.0% Entry 15

The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-01 Markup $58.37 +2.7% Entry 14

The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-31 Markup $56.82 +0.0% Entry 13

The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-30 Markup · changed $56.82 -2.3% Entry 12

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-29 Accumulation $58.16 -4.2% Entry 11

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 4.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-28 Accumulation $60.73 +0.0% Entry 10

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-27 Accumulation $60.73 -1.5% Entry 9

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500; its composite score rose; dropped out of the Titan Ethical 500. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-21 Accumulation $61.68 +6.3% Entry 8

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32.

2026-10-14 Accumulation $58.02 +9.2% Entry 7

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 9.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (6 analysts) rates it underperform, with a mean price target of $32.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on CVI

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in CVI's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming CVI
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-05-15 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-05-01 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $34.88 -9.0% $0.10 $913 -8.7%
2 months $30.56 +3.9% $0.10 $1,042 +4.2%
3 months $28.67 +10.7% $0.10 $1,110 +11.0%
6 months $31.13 +2.0% $0.10 $1,023 +2.3%
1 year $24.65 +28.8% $0.10 $1,292 +29.2%
2 years $26.45 +20.0% $0.60 $1,223 +22.3%
3 years $23.44 +35.4% $5.10 $1,572 +57.2%
5 years $13.54 +134.3% $13.30 $3,325 +232.5%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CVI does next, these words stay.

CVR Energy, Inc. · CVI · Markup · $48.60
Recorded 2026-11-03 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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