An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
VERDICT
The label
Markup
read at $117.44
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce holds its Markup at $117.44.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-24
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days
Price
$117.44
Valuation
16.45 trailing · 14.86 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL
Beta
1.27
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$117.44
16.45 P/E · 14.86 fwd
Our fair value
$116.16
1% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$113.79
-3% to current
Target low $97.15Analyst target rangeTarget high $119.72
▲ current $117.44 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$117.44
you are here
Conservative
$88.90
-24%
Analyst avg
$113.79
-3%
Our fair value
$116.16
-1%
Analyst high
$119.72
+2%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price — fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Revenue growth
15.30%
Profit margin
33.98%
Analyst consensus
Buy · 3 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its business activity. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money.Pass
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Bank Numbers Look Fine Until Ethics Bite
Picture a big Canadian lender handling mortgages and business loans across provinces where everyday customers just want reliable service. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce shows 15 percent revenue growth, a 34 percent profit margin and 15 percent ROE, yet the valuation sits above our fair value with a negative margin of safety and only a moderate moat.
We pass on this name because it fails the ethical screen on business activity. That single issue overrides the forward P/E of 15.3 times and the buy-rated analyst targets that sit below the current share price.
The real risk is that banks can look cheap on earnings multiples right before credit cycles turn, and here the ethical red flag removes any reason to dig deeper. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
CM trades on the NYSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 65%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $107. Entered 2026-07-25 · Markup
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-25Markup$117.44+7.9%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 65%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $107.
2026-07-18Markup$108.84+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 65%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $107.
2026-07-03Markup$108.84+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$108.84Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
