An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Alinma Hospitality REIT is a real estate investment fund.
VERDICT
The label
Markdown
read at $8.12
Alinma Hospitality REIT holds its Markdown at $8.12.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markdown label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · screen not yet scored
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2025-12-31
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 10 days
Price
$8.12
Valuation
16.92 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screen
Not scored
Beta
N/A
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$8.12
16.92 P/E · N/A fwd
Our fair value
$1.92
330% premium
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$8.12
you are here
Our fair value
$1.92
-76%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Profit margin
0.00%
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 3.8% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 2.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Saudi Arabia and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
PEERS
Related securities · others in 4349.SR's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 0%. Entered 2026-07-19 · Accumulation
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-19Accumulation$8.12-1.6%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 0%.
2026-07-18Accumulation$8.25+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 0%.
2026-07-15Accumulation$8.25+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-03Accumulation$8.25+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$8.25Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$8.16
+1.6%
·
$1,016
+1.6%
2 months
$8.06
+2.9%
·
$1,029
+2.9%
3 months
$7.98
+3.9%
·
$1,039
+3.9%
6 months
$7.86
+5.4%
$0.32
$1,095
+9.5%
1 year
$7.69
+7.8%
$0.64
$1,161
+16.1%
2 years
$7.33
+13.2%
$1.28
$1,306
+30.6%
3 years
$7.20
+15.1%
$1.92
$1,417
+41.7%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever 4349.SR does next, these words stay.
Alinma Hospitality REIT · 4349.SR · Markdown · $8.12
Recorded 2025-12-31 · before the outcome · scored mechanically