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The Screen · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

0688.HK · UNKNOWN · USD · Market cap $136.0B

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, commercial property operations, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China, the United Kingdom, and Macau.

PASS · Titan Ethical
12.43 USD

Screen close, 2026-09-22 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 13 days ago

Screened 2026-09-22 · the tape above runs as of 11:17 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
17.4120.8824.86

What this means: price 12.43 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 20.88, over the last year.

Current read
Accumulation ?
Screened · screened 2026-09-22
  • Trend Accumulation
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical passes the values gate
Price12.43 USD
Fair value20.88
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Markup12.43+0.0% to today ✓
2026-09-18Read Distribution13.17-5.6% to today ✓
2026-08-19Read Markdown13.42-7.4% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup15.57-20.2% to today

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited holds its Accumulation at $12.43. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 23 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-22
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 23 days
Price at the screen$12.43
Valuation10.53 trailing · 8.57 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS
Beta0.58
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 27.05% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 27.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 11.61% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 11.6% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.67% Below 5% Only 0.7% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Clears, in Plain English

China Overseas Land & Investment clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 27%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

17.41Conservative20.88Base case24.86Growth case 12.43Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-22 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 68.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
15.00Street low 18.54Street average 25.00Street high 12.43Price

Third-party analyst targets: 13 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +49% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$26.0$18.5$10.9TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$25.00 +60%Our fair value$20.88 +34%Street avg$18.54 +19%Conservative$17.41 +12%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-22 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E8.6xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E10.5xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing1.18
EPS, forward1.45
Revenue growth+17.3%steady growth
Profit margin6.1%thin but positive margins
Return on equity2.8%a modest return on shareholder capital
FCF yield0.96%
Debt to equity0.56moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio2.42comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta0.58steadier than the market
52-week range11.36 - 16.70
MoatMODERATE
Market cap$136.0B

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Hong Kong and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

0688.HK trades on UNKNOWN (the company is based in Hong Kong). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Markup · changed $12.43 -5.6% Entry 8

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 5.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $18.

2026-09-18 Distribution · changed $13.17 -1.9% Entry 7

The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $18.

2026-08-19 Markdown · changed $13.42 +0.4% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $18.

2026-07-19 Markup $13.37 -14.1% Entry 5

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 14.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $18.

2026-07-18 Markup $15.57 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $18.

2026-07-15 Markup $15.57 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-03 Markup $15.57 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $15.57 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on 0688.HK

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in 0688.HK's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $16.37 -4.8% · $952 -4.8%
2 months $11.93 +30.6% · $1,306 +30.6%
3 months $12.90 +20.8% · $1,208 +20.8%
6 months $12.73 +22.4% · $1,224 +22.4%
1 year $13.03 +19.6% $0.55 $1,238 +23.8%
2 years $13.93 +11.8% $1.30 $1,212 +21.2%
3 years $15.35 +1.5% $2.05 $1,149 +14.9%
5 years $15.25 +2.2% $4.39 $1,310 +31.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever 0688.HK does next, these words stay.

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited · 0688.HK · Accumulation · $12.43
Recorded 2026-09-22 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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