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The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Permian Resources Holdings Inc
PR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $20.0B · 515 employees
Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States.
Screened 2026-09-02 · the tape above runs as of 17:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Permian Resources Holdings Inc holds its Accumulation at $23.82. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 268 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-02
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 268 days
Price at the screen
$23.82
Valuation
15.37 trailing · 10.83 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.48
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
20.55%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 20.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
1.13%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 1.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-02 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 4.3% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 19 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-02 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Oil patch cycles rarely reward the patient
Think of the Permian as a crowded poker table where every hand is dealt by crude prices that swing hard. Permian Resources sits there with a narrow moat, single-digit revenue growth and a 7 percent return on equity that hardly covers the cost of capital. At 9.8 times forward earnings the shares look cheap, yet that multiple simply reflects peak-cycle margins rather than any durable edge.
We pass. The modest 5 percent margin of safety to our fair value offers little cushion once oil prices normalise, and the business shows no sign of escaping the narrow-moat trap that defines most shale producers. Analyst targets sit higher, but those forecasts embed the same cyclical assumptions that have burned investors in prior downturns.
Commodity exposure remains the dominant risk. A sustained drop in realised prices would compress cash flow quickly, while the low return on equity leaves little room for error on costs or well performance. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-10Accumulation$23.82+20.7%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 20.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $26.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $26.
2026-07-18Distribution$19.51+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $26.
2026-07-03Distribution$19.51+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$19.51Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
