The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $48.
Standard Motor Products, Inc.
SMP · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $859M · 5,700 employees
Standard Motor Products, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2025-12-31
Screened 2025-12-31 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
Standard Motor Products, Inc. holds its Distribution at $38.59. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 60 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 60 days |
| Price at the screen | $38.59 |
| Valuation | 10.37 trailing · 7.81 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.81 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 35.69% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 35.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 15.24% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 15.2% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.07% | Below 5% | Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2025-12-31 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 39.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +19% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2025-12-31 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 7.8xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| Trailing P/E | 10.4xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 3.72 |
| EPS, forward | 4.94 |
| Revenue growth | +9.1%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 2.5%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 12.4%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 7.55% |
| Dividend yield | 335.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.09a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 2.23comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.81steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.05% |
| 52-week range | 29.53 - 46.00 |
| Market cap | $859M |
| Employees | 5,700 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
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Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $48.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $38.67 | +0.6% | $0.33 | $1,014 | +1.4% |
| 2 months | $37.15 | +4.7% | $0.33 | $1,056 | +5.6% |
| 3 months | $36.21 | +7.4% | $0.33 | $1,083 | +8.3% |
| 6 months | $37.92 | +2.6% | $0.66 | $1,043 | +4.3% |
| 1 year | $29.65 | +31.2% | $1.28 | $1,355 | +35.5% |
| 2 years | $27.36 | +42.1% | $2.48 | $1,512 | +51.2% |
| 3 years | $33.72 | +15.3% | $3.64 | $1,261 | +26.1% |
| 5 years | $40.23 | -3.3% | $5.80 | $1,111 | +11.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SMP does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.