The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $20.
United Bancorp, Inc.
UBCP · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $84M
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-05-23
Screened 2026-05-23 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
United Bancorp, Inc. holds its Distribution at $15.90. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 5 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 5 days |
| Price at the screen | $15.90 |
| Valuation | 10.79 trailing · 9.11 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Financial sector: banks | Fail |
| Debt load | 0.00% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 0.00% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-05-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 23.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 9.1xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 10.8xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 1.35 |
| EPS, forward | 1.60 |
| Revenue growth | +6.4%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 24.1%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 12.1%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| Dividend yield | 533.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.00minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $84M |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeUBCP trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-22 | EVERSON SCOTT A | Chief Executive Officer | 2,197 | $29,923 | |
| 2025-05-22 | GLESSNER GARY W | Director | 3,497 | $47,629 | |
| 2025-05-22 | BRANSTETTER MATTHEW FREDRICK | Chief Operating Officer | 339 | $4,617 | |
| 2025-05-22 | SCHUNN BETHANY E. | Director | 836 | $11,386 | |
| 2025-05-22 | HENDERSHOT BRIAN M. | Director | 2,207 | $30,059 | |
| 2025-05-22 | HOOPINGARNER JOHN M | Director | 927 | $12,626 | |
| 2025-05-22 | GREENWOOD RANDALL M | Chief Financial Officer | 1,006 | $13,702 | |
| 2024-06-21 | EVERSON SCOTT A | Chief Executive Officer | 2,092 | $25,794 | |
| 2024-06-21 | GLESSNER GARY W | Director | 580 | $7,053 | |
| 2024-06-21 | BRANSTETTER MATTHEW FREDRICK | Chief Operating Officer | 588 | $7,250 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $15.64 | +1.1% | · | $1,011 | +1.1% |
| 2 months | $16.22 | -2.5% | · | $975 | -2.5% |
| 3 months | $15.11 | +4.6% | · | $1,046 | +4.6% |
| 6 months | $13.10 | +20.7% | $0.37 | $1,235 | +23.5% |
| 1 year | $12.70 | +24.5% | $0.93 | $1,318 | +31.8% |
| 2 years | $10.23 | +54.6% | $1.82 | $1,724 | +72.4% |
| 3 years | $9.61 | +64.5% | $2.48 | $1,903 | +90.3% |
| 5 years | $11.28 | +40.2% | $4.04 | $1,760 | +76.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever UBCP does next, these words stay.
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