NAS100 28,128 −1.15% S&P 7,412 +0.05% GOLD $4,056 +0.22% BTC $64,091 −1.47% VIX 18.58 −0.64% live tape · as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul
Vol. II · No. 207Sunday, 26 July 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Financials

United Bancorp, Inc.

UBCP · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $84M

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
15.90 USD

At the last full screen
2026-05-23

Screened 2026-05-23 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

United Bancorp, Inc. holds its Distribution at $15.90. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 5 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-05-23
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 5 days
Price at the screen$15.90
Valuation10.79 trailing · 9.11 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Business activity

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Financial sector: banks Fail
Debt load 0.00% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

18.00Conservative19.68Base case30.00Growth case 15.90Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-05-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 23.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$20.5$14.6$8.8TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$19.68 +24%Conservative$18.00 +14%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-23 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.1xpriced for continued growth
Trailing P/E10.8xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing1.35
EPS, forward1.60
Revenue growth+6.4%slow but positive growth
Profit margin24.1%healthy profit margins
Return on equity12.1%a solid return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield533.00%
Debt to equity0.00minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
MoatMODERATE
Market cap$84M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

UBCP trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-07-18 Distribution $15.90 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $20.

2026-07-03 Distribution $15.90 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $15.90 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · UBCP
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2025-05-22 EVERSON SCOTT A Chief Executive Officer 2,197 $29,923
2025-05-22 GLESSNER GARY W Director 3,497 $47,629
2025-05-22 BRANSTETTER MATTHEW FREDRICK Chief Operating Officer 339 $4,617
2025-05-22 SCHUNN BETHANY E. Director 836 $11,386
2025-05-22 HENDERSHOT BRIAN M. Director 2,207 $30,059
2025-05-22 HOOPINGARNER JOHN M Director 927 $12,626
2025-05-22 GREENWOOD RANDALL M Chief Financial Officer 1,006 $13,702
2024-06-21 EVERSON SCOTT A Chief Executive Officer 2,092 $25,794
2024-06-21 GLESSNER GARY W Director 580 $7,053
2024-06-21 BRANSTETTER MATTHEW FREDRICK Chief Operating Officer 588 $7,250

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $15.64 +1.1% · $1,011 +1.1%
2 months $16.22 -2.5% · $975 -2.5%
3 months $15.11 +4.6% · $1,046 +4.6%
6 months $13.10 +20.7% $0.37 $1,235 +23.5%
1 year $12.70 +24.5% $0.93 $1,318 +31.8%
2 years $10.23 +54.6% $1.82 $1,724 +72.4%
3 years $9.61 +64.5% $2.48 $1,903 +90.3%
5 years $11.28 +40.2% $4.04 $1,760 +76.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever UBCP does next, these words stay.

United Bancorp, Inc. · UBCP · Distribution · $15.90
Recorded 2026-05-23 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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