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The Screen · Communication Services · Telecom Services
T-Mobile US
TMUS · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $156.5B · 75,000 employees
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
162.01 USD
Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 04:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price162.01 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
Positioning political selling, disclosed 2026-09-25
Options put/call open interest 0.54, read 2026-11-07
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price162.01 USD
Fair value274.58
Ethical score10.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Distribution165.43-2.1% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 7% slide in 13 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup178.10-9.0% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
T-Mobile US holds its Distribution at $162.01. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 7 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-06
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 7 days
Price at the screen
$162.01
Valuation
14.20 trailing · 10.31 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.32
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
55.77%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 55.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
4.78%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 4.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
T-Mobile US's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 56% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when TMUS's ethical verdict changes
Today TMUS does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 41% discount to our $274.58 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 7.90% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 41.0% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $274.58, with a range of $235.62 to $324.02, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
T-Mobile US - Spectacular Numbers amid Debt Woes
Imagine being on the cutting edge of the telecom revolution, yet burdened by a debt that could sink a battleship. That's T-Mobile US in a nutshell. This company, operating in the heart of the digital age, offers voice, messaging, and data services, and is renowned for its growth and profitability. But its debt ratio causes us to fail it on our ethical screen. Why it stands out. Despite these ethical concerns, the numbers are hard to ignore - revenue growth of 8%, a profit margin of 11%, and an ROE of 18%. The forward P/E of 12.6x is tantalizingly low, suggesting the market may have overlooked the company's potential.
However, the risk lies in the company's debt ratio, which is high enough to fail our ethical screen. High debt can be a precarious balancing act for a business, particularly when economic winds shift. It's like building a skyscraper on a weak foundation - impressive while it stands, but a risk if the ground shifts.
In conclusion, despite the attractive valuation and growth prospects, T-Mobile US's high debt ratio is a red flag that leads us to avoid it ethically. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TMUS trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04Distribution$154.41-1.7%Entry 21
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261.
2026-10-28Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 20
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 19
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 18
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 17
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 16
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 15
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21Distribution$157.03+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-16Distribution$157.03-5.1%Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
