NAS100 29,368 +0.91% S&P 7,657 +0.86% GOLD $4,390 +0.58% BTC $77,267 +0.91% VIX 15.84 −11.21% live tape · as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep
Vol. II · No. 255Saturday, 12 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical

Movado Group, Inc.

MOV · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $632M

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
37.26 USD

At the last full screen
2026-05-23

Screened 2026-05-23 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Movado Group, Inc. holds its Markdown at $37.26. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 260 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-05-23
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 260 days
Price at the screen$37.26
Valuation24.32 trailing · 15.55 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Cash ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 12.44% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 12.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 36.53% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 36.5% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

30.20Conservative33.01Base case50.33Growth case 37.26Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-05-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 11.4% above the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$37.7$25.5$13.3TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$33.01 -8%Conservative$30.20 -16%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-23 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E15.5xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E24.3xa premium valuation
EPS, trailing1.17
EPS, forward1.83
Revenue growth+5.6%slow but positive growth
Profit margin4.0%barely profitable
Return on equity5.4%a modest return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield492.00%
Debt to equity0.15minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
MoatWEAK
Market cap$632M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

MOV trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-05 Markdown · changed $37.26 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 38% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 141%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-08-05 Markup $37.26 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 38% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 141%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-18 Markup $37.26 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 38% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 141%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-03 Markup $37.26 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $37.26 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · MOV
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-04-16 GRINBERG EFRAIM Chief Executive Officer 100,000 $1,687,000
2026-03-23 SUSSIS MITCHELL COLE General Counsel 10,142 ·
2026-03-23 SOLTANI BEHZAD Chief Operating Officer 19,886 ·
2026-03-23 PETERSON MAYA Director 5,442 ·
2026-03-23 KENNEDY MICHELLE Officer 10,142 ·
2026-03-23 FEENEY LINDA Officer 1,025 ·
2026-03-23 SADOVE STEPHEN I Director 5,442 ·
2026-03-23 HOWARD ALAN H Director 8,581 ·
2026-03-23 KIRSCHNER ANN Director 5,442 ·
2026-03-23 GRINBERG ALEXANDER Director 1,815 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $27.61 +30.6% · $1,306 +30.6%
2 months $26.74 +34.8% · $1,348 +34.8%
3 months $23.08 +56.2% $0.35 $1,578 +57.8%
6 months $21.29 +69.3% $0.35 $1,710 +71.0%
1 year $14.95 +141.2% $1.40 $2,506 +150.6%
2 years $21.97 +64.1% $2.80 $1,768 +76.8%
3 years $22.77 +58.3% $3.85 $1,752 +75.2%
5 years $23.07 +56.3% $7.40 $1,884 +88.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MOV does next, these words stay.

Movado Group, Inc. · MOV · Markdown · $37.26
Recorded 2026-05-23 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

Membership

Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.

Membership opens the full screen archive, the composites built from it, and the daily coverage that prices what the screen approves.

Join the desk

Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

Get our weekly market brief free.