The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd.
HNHPF · PNK · USD · Market cap $112.9B
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-08
Screened 2026-09-08 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. holds its Accumulation at $16.12. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 9 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 9 days |
| Price at the screen | $16.12 |
| Valuation | 16.97 trailing · 23.00 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.87 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 1,144.87% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 1,144.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 1,413.78% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 1,413.8% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 0.00% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 28% discount to our $20.61 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 40.80% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-08 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 27.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-08 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsThe factory behind every gadget still fails us
Pick up any smartphone and the odds are high it passed through Hon Hai's vast plants in Asia. The company delivers solid top line expansion yet barely clears a two percent profit margin while returning just twelve percent on equity.
We pass because the ethical screen flags excessive debt and the forward multiple of twenty one point six times offers little cushion despite the reported margin of safety. Moderate competitive position and thin returns do not justify stepping around that red line.
Revenue can swing with product cycles and any rise in borrowing costs would quickly pressure the slim margins already on show. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 23.0xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 17.0xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 0.95 |
| EPS, forward | 0.70 |
| Revenue growth | +40.8%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 2.3%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 13.2%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -161.42% |
| Dividend yield | 271.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.64moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.42adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.87steadier than the market |
| 52-week range | 11.50 - 20.26 |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $112.9B |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Taiwan and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeHNHPF trades on PNK (the company is based in Taiwan). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $16.19 | +5.2% | · | $1,052 | +5.2% |
| 2 months | $12.70 | +34.1% | · | $1,341 | +34.1% |
| 3 months | $13.50 | +26.2% | · | $1,262 | +26.2% |
| 6 months | $15.06 | +13.1% | · | $1,131 | +13.1% |
| 1 year | $10.00 | +70.4% | $0.39 | $1,743 | +74.3% |
| 2 years | $10.23 | +66.4% | $0.72 | $1,734 | +73.4% |
| 3 years | $6.21 | +174.1% | $1.06 | $2,912 | +191.2% |
| 5 years | $6.58 | +158.6% | $1.70 | $2,844 | +184.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HNHPF does next, these words stay.
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