Screened 2026-09-09 · the tape above runs as of 22:36 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Jabil holds its Distribution at $311.37. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 6 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-09
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 6 days
Price at the screen
$311.37
Valuation
38.92 trailing · 18.49 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 85.1
Beta
1.29
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
18.15%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 18.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
32.21%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 32.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades at roughly a 41% discount to our $438.87 fair value, weak competitive moat, 11.80% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 40.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +41% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Circuit board maker priced above its worth
Picture a factory turning out circuit boards for phones, cars and medical gear in dozens of countries. Jabil handles that global supply chain, yet it carries only a weak moat and a thin 3% profit margin despite 12% revenue growth.
We pass because the shares trade at a forward P/E of 18 times while our fair value sits well below the current price. High return on equity of 66% looks impressive on paper, but the weak competitive position and modest margins leave little room for error.
Analysts still rate the stock a buy with a 450 median target, yet cyclical swings in electronics demand and thin margins remain real threats to those forecasts. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
JBL trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-02Distribution$313.21+0.6%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 54% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 98%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $316.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 11.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 54% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 98%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $316.
2026-07-18Markup$353.24+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 54% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 98%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $316.
2026-07-03Markup$353.24+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$353.24Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
