NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,416+0.37%BTC$81,250+6.34%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 22:36 UTC
The Screen · Technology · Electronic Components
TE Connectivity
TEL · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $59.3B · 90,000 employees
TE Connectivity plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the AsiaPacific, and the Americas.
Screened 2026-09-08 · the tape above runs as of 22:36 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
TE Connectivity holds its Distribution at $204.99. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 77 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-08
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 77 days
Price at the screen
$204.99
Valuation
20.10 trailing · 15.88 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 85.4
Beta
1.16
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
23.20%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 23.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
18.57%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 18.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.48%
Below 5%
Only 0.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades at roughly a 39% discount to our $285.28 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 13.80% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-08 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 39.2% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 19 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +15% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-08 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Connectors in Every Machine Carry a Premium Price
Picture a sensor link inside a lorry or factory robot. TE Connectivity makes those links at scale across transport and industrial markets. Revenue is rising 14 percent, margins sit at 16 percent, and return on equity reaches 23 percent with a moderate moat. Yet the shares trade at a level that leaves little room for the numbers to deliver.
We pass because the opportunity looks overvalued at the current price. Forward earnings sit on 16.1 times while analyst targets cluster around 250. Our own fair value sits higher still, but the gap signals limited margin once growth normalises.
Risk centres on the transport segment, which moves with vehicle cycles and can compress earnings quickly when demand fades. Currency moves and supply chain costs add further swings. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Ireland and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TEL trades on a US exchange (the company is based in Ireland). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 6.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $265.
2026-08-14Markup · changed$218.02+2.5%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $265.
2026-07-18Distribution$212.65+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $265.
2026-07-03Distribution$212.65+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$212.65Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
