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The Screen · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Vivendi SE
VIV.PA · EURONEXT PARIS · EUR · Market cap $2.1B · 2,500 employees
Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
1.52 EUR
Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote Last reviewed 14 days ago
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 11:17 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 1.52 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 2.60, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price1.52 EUR
Fair value2.60
Ethical score70.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-16Read Distribution2.14-29.0% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup2.14-29.0% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Vivendi SE holds its Distribution at $1.52. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 128 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 128 days
Price at the screen
$1.52
Valuation
76.00 trailing · 13.07 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.25
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Revenue purity 23.4%
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
19.83%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 19.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
2.88%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 2.9% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
0.88%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.9% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
23.45%
Below 5%
23.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Vivendi SE clears the business-activity screen, and its debt is inside the line. Where it falls short is income purity: around 23% of its income right now is non-operating interest income, against a roughly 5% ceiling, so it does not pass. That reflects what it earns today, not the business itself, and it could clear the screen if its operating revenue grows and the interest share falls.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 71% discount to our $2.60 fair value.
Fair value range in EUR, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 71.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +74% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it gives us pause
At 13.1x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. Our fair value sits at $2.60, below where it trades today.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to France and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
VIV.PA trades on EURONEXT PARIS (the company is based in France). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-02Distribution$1.52-29.0%Entry 6
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 29.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $3. Since the last review it entered the Tech 100; its composite score rose.
2026-09-16Distribution$2.14+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $3.
2026-08-16Distribution · changed$2.14+0.0%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $3.
2026-07-18Markup$2.14+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $3.
2026-07-03Markup$2.14+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$2.14Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$2.15
-1.4%
·
$986
-1.4%
2 months
$2.05
+3.4%
$0.04
$1,053
+5.3%
3 months
$1.93
+9.9%
$0.04
$1,120
+12.0%
6 months
$2.32
-8.8%
$0.04
$929
-7.1%
1 year
$2.85
-25.7%
$0.04
$757
-24.3%
2 years
$9.66
-78.1%
$0.04
$223
-77.7%
3 years
$7.79
-72.8%
$0.29
$309
-69.1%
5 years
$10.09
-79.0%
$1.39
$348
-65.2%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Ledger's Promise
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever VIV.PA does next, these words stay.
Vivendi SE · VIV.PA · Distribution · $1.52
Recorded 2026-09-21 · before the outcome · scored mechanically