Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical passes the values gate
Price81.51 USD
Fair value105.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-14Read Accumulation85.58-4.8% to today
2026-08-13Read Distribution80.02+1.9% to today
2026-07-02Read Accumulation77.41+5.3% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Strategic Education, Inc. holds its Markdown at $81.51. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days
Price at the screen
$81.51
Valuation
13.61 trailing · 9.65 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.50
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
5.35%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 5.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.36%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.4% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
10.74%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 10.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 28.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +23% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Education firm looks cheap but growth has stalled
Picture a university campus where enrolment barely moves year to year while costs keep climbing. Strategic Education runs post-secondary courses across the US, Australia and New Zealand plus online skills programmes, yet revenue is expanding only 1 percent and return on equity sits at 8 percent. At 9.5 times forward earnings the shares sit well below our fair value of 95 dollars, but the opportunity rating stays at none because the business simply is not compounding.
The low multiple reflects that reality rather than a bargain. Profit margins of 10 percent are steady and the ethical screen clears, yet single-digit growth and an unknown moat leave little room for meaningful upside from here. Analyst targets cluster around 91 dollars, which still implies limited excitement once the numbers are stress-tested against flat demand for traditional degrees.
Risk centres on further enrolment weakness if employers shift toward shorter credentials and on currency moves in the Australia and New Zealand segment. Unknown competitive defences add another layer of uncertainty in a market already facing regulatory and demographic pressure. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
STRA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $87.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $87.
2026-07-18Accumulation$77.41+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $87.
2026-07-03Accumulation$77.41+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$77.41Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
