The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
Perdoceo Education Corporation
PRDO · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.1B · 6,000 employees
Perdoceo Education Corporation provides postsecondary education through online, campus-based, and blended learning programs in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Perdoceo Education Corporation holds its Accumulation at $32.92. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 24 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 24 days |
| Price at the screen | $32.92 |
| Valuation | 11.97 trailing · 9.98 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.72 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 9.48% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 9.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 40.97% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 41.0% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 11.07% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 11.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 3.11% | Below 5% | Only 3.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 33.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsFor Profit Colleges Still Print Steady Cash
Picture a working parent logging into an online degree after their shift. That flow of tuition dollars lands at Perdoceo, where three university brands turn modest enrolment into 20 percent profit margins and 17 percent returns on equity. The shares sit at 9.5 times forward earnings against a fair value 39 percent higher, and the ethical screen clears without issue.
Revenue edges up 4 percent a year, enough to keep cash flowing while the market prices the business like a fading name. One analyst points to the same $44 level we see, yet the rating stays flat. The low multiple reflects real caution rather than hidden value.
Regulatory pressure on for profit education never disappears and enrolment can stall in a weak jobs market. Peak margins at a single digit growth rate often mark the top of the cycle, not a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 10.0xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 12.0xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.75 |
| EPS, forward | 3.30 |
| Revenue growth | +1.8%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 20.6%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 17.6%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 8.96% |
| Dividend yield | 176.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.11minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 4.69comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.72steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.08% |
| 52-week range | 26.66 - 38.50 |
| Market cap | $2.1B |
| Employees | 6,000 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePRDO trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Nelson Todd S | Pres, CEO | S - Sale | 46,199 | $1,519,485 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $35.46 | -0.7% | $0.15 | $997 | -0.3% |
| 2 months | $35.22 | +0.0% | $0.15 | $1,004 | +0.4% |
| 3 months | $34.80 | +1.2% | $0.15 | $1,016 | +1.6% |
| 6 months | $28.45 | +23.8% | $0.30 | $1,249 | +24.9% |
| 1 year | $31.17 | +13.0% | $0.60 | $1,149 | +14.9% |
| 2 years | $20.69 | +70.2% | $1.12 | $1,756 | +75.6% |
| 3 years | $11.62 | +203.0% | $1.56 | $3,164 | +216.4% |
| 5 years | $11.97 | +194.2% | $1.56 | $3,072 | +207.2% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PRDO does next, these words stay.
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