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The Screen · Healthcare

Shoulder Innovations Inc

SI · USD · Market cap $448M

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
19.66 USD

Price as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago

Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 02:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price19.66 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
19.0022.0024.00

What this means: price 19.66 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 22.00, over the last year.

Current read
Accumulation ?
Screened · screened 2026-10-23
  • Trend Accumulation
  • Insiders insiders sold, $187,706, latest filing 2026-09-14
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price19.66 USD
Fair value22.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-16Read Accumulation17.87+10.0% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-02Read Markdown18.16+8.3% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown after a 16% slide in 3 weeks
2026-09-12Read Accumulation21.59-8.9% to today Markup gives way to Accumulation after a 15% rise in 10 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup18.70+5.1% to today ✓First review on file: Markup

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Shoulder Innovations Inc holds its Accumulation at $19.66. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 38 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-10-23
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 38 days
Price at the screen$19.66
ValuationN/A trailing · -15.48 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 8.84% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 8.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 57.35% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 57.3% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 20.68% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 20.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 4.12% Below 5% Only 4.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Shoulder Innovations's business is fine, but its cash and interest-bearing securities are about 57% of its assets, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

19.00Conservative22.00Base case24.00Growth case 19.66Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 11.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
19.00Street low 22.00Street average 24.00Street high 19.66Price

Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$24.9$18.6$12.4TODAY6m agoPROJECTIONStreet high$24.00 +34%Street avg$22.00 +23%Our fair value$22.00 +23%Conservative$19.00 +6%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-15.5x
52-week range10.92 - 23.00
MoatNONE
Market cap$448M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-16 Accumulation · changed $17.87 -1.6% Entry 7

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-10-02 Markdown · changed $18.16 -15.9% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Since the last review it its composite score rose.

2026-09-12 Accumulation · changed $21.59 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-08-12 Markup $21.59 +15.5% Entry 4

Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 15.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-07-18 Markup $18.70 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-07-03 Markup $18.70 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $18.70 Entry 1

Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in SI's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · SI
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-09-14 Ball Robert Joseph CEO, Exec COB S - Sale+OE 10,175 $187,706

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming SI
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 15K–50K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 15K–50K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-09-24 Suzan DelBene Democrat buy 15K–50K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $13.22 +35.4% · $1,354 +35.4%
2 months $14.96 +19.7% · $1,197 +19.7%
3 months $14.62 +22.4% · $1,224 +22.4%
6 months $14.94 +19.8% · $1,198 +19.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SI does next, these words stay.

Shoulder Innovations Inc · SI · Accumulation · $19.66
Recorded 2026-10-23 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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