The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $151.
Paycom Software, Inc.
PAYC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $9.9B · 5,770 employees
Paycom Software, Inc.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 13:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Paycom Software, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $218.91. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 14 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 14 days |
| Price at the screen | $218.91 |
| Valuation | 23.19 trailing · 15.69 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.79 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 1.19% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 1.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 5.46% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 5.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 19.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 16 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsEvery Paycheck Runs Through One Quiet System
Picture a midsize US firm handling hiring, payroll and benefits for hundreds of staff each month. Paycom supplies the cloud software that keeps those processes in one place, cutting the usual tangle of spreadsheets and outside vendors. Revenue is rising 8 percent, profit margins sit at 22 percent and return on equity reaches 37 percent, all at a forward multiple of 12 times.
Those figures look sturdy on paper and the ethical screen clears without issue. Yet the opportunity rating stays at none, the share price sits above the analyst median target and growth remains modest for a company whose moat is still unproven.
Competition from larger HCM platforms could cap expansion while currency and macro swings stay irrelevant here. The numbers do not scream for action either way. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 15.7xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 23.2xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 9.44 |
| EPS, forward | 13.95 |
| Revenue growth | +9.8%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 22.8%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 41.1%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.29% |
| Dividend yield | 112.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.72a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 1.07adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.79steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.06% |
| 52-week range | 104.90 - 244.98 |
| Market cap | $9.9B |
| Employees | 5,770 |
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePAYC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 60.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $151.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $151.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | April McClain Delaney | Democrat | sell | 100K–250K |
| 2026-08-25 | April McClain Delaney | Democrat | sell | 100K–250K |
| 2026-08-25 | April McClain Delaney | Democrat | sell | 100K–250K |
| 2026-04-13 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | Purchase | 1K–15K |
| 2026-03-27 | Alan Armstrong | Republican | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $138.06 | -0.5% | $0.38 | $998 | -0.2% |
| 2 months | $113.28 | +21.3% | $0.38 | $1,216 | +21.6% |
| 3 months | $126.28 | +8.8% | $0.38 | $1,091 | +9.1% |
| 6 months | $165.18 | -16.8% | $0.75 | $836 | -16.4% |
| 1 year | $251.75 | -45.4% | $1.50 | $552 | -44.8% |
| 2 years | $143.90 | -4.5% | $3.00 | $976 | -2.4% |
| 3 years | $297.43 | -53.8% | $4.50 | $477 | -52.3% |
| 5 years | $331.44 | -58.5% | $4.88 | $429 | -57.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PAYC does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.