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Vol. II · No. 255Saturday, 12 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Financials · Asset Management

New Mountain Finance Corporation

NMFC · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $751M

New Mountain Finance Corporation (Nasdaq: NMFC), a business development company, is a private equity/buyouts and loan fund that specializes in directly investing and lending to middle market companies in “defensive growt…

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
7.95 USD

At the last full screen
2026-06-14

Screened 2026-06-14 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

New Mountain Finance Corporation holds its Distribution at $7.95. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 24 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-06-14
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 24 days
Price at the screen$7.95
ValuationN/A trailing · 7.55 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.60
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: financial services

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: financial services Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

8.42Conservative8.93Base case13.69Growth case 7.95Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-06-14 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 12.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
7.50Street low 8.38Street average 10.00Street high 7.95Price

Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$10.2$8.8$7.4TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$10.00 +25%Our fair value$8.93 +12%Conservative$8.42 +5%Street avg$8.38 +5%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-06-14 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E7.6xvery cheap relative to earnings
EPS, trailing-0.57
EPS, forward1.05
Revenue growth-19.7%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin-18.7%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-4.8%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield12.40%
Dividend yield1,524.00%
Debt to equity1.27a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio1.79healthy short-term liquidity
Beta0.60steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.05%
52-week range7.48 - 10.90
Market cap$751M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

NMFC trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-06 Distribution $7.95 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 7%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $9.

2026-08-06 Distribution $7.95 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 7%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $9.

2026-07-18 Distribution $7.95 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 7%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $9.

2026-07-03 Distribution $7.95 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $7.95 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $8.07 -0.9% · $991 -0.9%
2 months $7.99 +0.1% · $1,001 +0.1%
3 months $7.59 +5.3% $0.32 $1,095 +9.5%
6 months $8.92 -10.3% $0.64 $968 -3.2%
1 year $9.40 -15.0% $1.28 $986 -1.4%
2 years $9.77 -18.2% $2.61 $1,085 +8.5%
3 years $8.64 -7.4% $4.14 $1,405 +40.5%
5 years $7.68 +4.1% $6.58 $1,897 +89.7%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever NMFC does next, these words stay.

New Mountain Finance Corporation · NMFC · Distribution · $7.95
Recorded 2026-06-14 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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