The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (14 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $133.
NICE Ltd.
NICE · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $5.8B · 9,626 employees
NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial crime and compliance in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 17:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markup label.
NICE Ltd. holds its Markup at $98.18. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 15 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 15 days |
| Price at the screen | $98.18 |
| Valuation | 14.29 trailing · 7.76 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.05 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 1.74% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 1.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.74% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.7% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 21.88% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 21.9% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 1.85% | Below 5% | Only 1.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 46.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 13 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +17% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsAI Tools for Calls and Compliance Look Cheap
Picture a bank flagging suspicious transfers or a call centre routing angry customers, both now running on NICE's AI cloud platforms. The business clears our ethical screen and trades at a forward P/E of 7.9x with 10% revenue growth and 18% profit margins. Yet the opportunity rating sits at none because the moat remains unknown and return on equity is only 15%.
We pass because those numbers do not stand out against peers and the analyst median target is just $130, well below our own fair value of $162.50. Growth at this pace rarely justifies stretching for a name whose competitive edge is still unproven.
Risk sits with execution in a crowded software market and exposure to Israel, where political and currency swings can hit reported results without warning. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 7.8xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| Trailing P/E | 14.3xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 6.87 |
| EPS, forward | 12.66 |
| Revenue growth | +7.6%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 13.9%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 11.3%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 10.70% |
| Debt to equity | 2.34heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.33adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.05barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.02% |
| 52-week range | 83.10 - 153.68 |
| Market cap | $5.8B |
| Employees | 9,626 |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Israel and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeNICE trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Israel). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (14 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $133.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (14 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $133.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Josh Gottheimer | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $91.39 | -2.8% | · | $972 | -2.8% |
| 2 months | $97.00 | -8.4% | · | $916 | -8.4% |
| 3 months | $118.36 | -25.0% | · | $751 | -25.0% |
| 6 months | $108.92 | -18.4% | · | $816 | -18.4% |
| 1 year | $177.18 | -49.9% | · | $501 | -49.9% |
| 2 years | $175.08 | -49.3% | · | $507 | -49.3% |
| 3 years | $215.92 | -58.9% | · | $411 | -58.9% |
| 5 years | $229.02 | -61.2% | · | $388 | -61.2% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever NICE does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.