2026-10-25
McGrath RentCorp clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 18:01 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
McGrath RentCorp
MGRC · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $3.2B · 1,306 employees
McGrath RentCorp operates as a business-to-business rental company in the United States and internationally.
Not yet scored127.48 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 18:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price127.48 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.00)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $118.26 to $136.00, base estimate $118.26 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders insiders sold, $862,825, latest filing 2026-10-01
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.00, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price127.48 USD
Fair value118.26
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readOvervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-23Read Accumulation114.27+11.6% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-22Read Markdown114.27+11.6% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since September
2026-10-02Read Accumulation111.76+14.1% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation with results news in the headlines
2026-09-05Read Markdown114.15+11.7% to today Markup gives way to Markdown with volume flow in agreement
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its markup label.
McGrath RentCorp holds its Markup at $127.48. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 107 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 107 days |
| Price at the screen | $127.48 |
| Valuation | 20.47 trailing · 19.47 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.49 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 21.85% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 21.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 9.85% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 9.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
McGrath RentCorp clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
McGrath RentCorp clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 22%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades above our $118.26 fair value estimate, 7.10% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 7.8% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +16% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $118.26, with a range of $118.26 to $136.00, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsModular Rentals Deliver Steady Cash but Little Growth
When a contractor needs temporary offices on a job site or a lab requires specialised test gear for a short run, McGrath supplies the kit on a rental basis. The model generates reliable cash from modular buildings, storage units and electronic equipment across the US and a handful of other markets. Yet revenue is rising just 2% a year, profit margins sit at 16% and return on equity reaches only 13%, so the business shows little momentum at the current price.
We pass because the 9% gap to fair value offers scant compensation for the thin growth and unknown competitive position. A forward multiple of 16.9 times earnings matches the sector but does not look cheap when expansion is this modest and the moat remains unclear. Analyst targets sit higher yet carry no consensus weight.
Risk sits in the cyclical nature of construction and industrial projects, where delays or cutbacks can quickly reduce utilisation. Currency moves abroad and shifting demand for electronic test gear add further pressure on already low single-digit revenue trends. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 19.5xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 20.5xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 6.49 |
| EPS, forward | 6.83 |
| Revenue growth | +7.1%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 16.8%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 12.9%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 0.59% |
| Dividend yield | 170.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.86healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 0.49barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.02% |
| 52-week range | 94.99 - 134.61 |
| Market cap | $3.2B |
| Employees | 1,306 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeMGRC trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Accumulation $132.92
+16.3% Entry 16
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 16.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28
Accumulation $114.27
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Accumulation $114.27
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Accumulation $114.27
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Accumulation $114.27
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24
Accumulation $114.27
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23
Accumulation · changed $114.27
+0.0% Entry 10
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22
Markdown · changed $114.27
+1.0% Entry 9
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21
Accumulation $113.19
-0.4% Entry 8
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Accumulation $113.64
+1.7% Entry 7
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $145. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Hanna Joseph F | Dir | S - Sale | 7,500 | $862,825 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $113.90 | -0.8% | · | $992 | -0.8% |
| 2 months | $113.62 | -0.6% | $0.50 | $998 | -0.2% |
| 3 months | $103.55 | +9.1% | $0.50 | $1,095 | +9.5% |
| 6 months | $109.32 | +3.3% | $0.98 | $1,042 | +4.2% |
| 1 year | $115.96 | -2.6% | $1.95 | $991 | -0.9% |
| 2 years | $100.52 | +12.4% | $3.86 | $1,162 | +16.2% |
| 3 years | $92.84 | +21.7% | $5.73 | $1,278 | +27.8% |
| 5 years | $77.04 | +46.6% | $9.32 | $1,587 | +58.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MGRC does next, these words stay.
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