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The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Medifast Inc

MED · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $132M · 380 employees

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a health and wellness company that provides habit-based and coach-guided lifestyle solutions to address weight loss in the United States.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
12.26 USD

Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 15 days ago

Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 09:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
12.0012.0012.00

What this means: price 12.26 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 12.00, over the last year.

Current read
Markdown ?
Screened · screened 2026-09-21
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical passes the values gate
Price12.26 USD
Fair value12.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Markdown12.26+0.0% to today
2026-09-05Read Accumulation12.67-3.2% to today
2026-08-05Read Distribution10.26+19.5% to today
2026-07-02Read Markdown11.89+3.1% to today

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Medifast Inc holds its Markdown at $12.26. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 21 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 21 days
Price at the screen$12.26
ValuationN/A trailing · -42.04 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.73
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 4.31% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 4.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 31.44% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 31.4% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 36.01% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 36.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 1.43% Below 5% Only 1.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Clears, in Plain English

Medifast clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 4%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 1% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

12.00Conservative12.00Base case12.00Growth case 12.26Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 2.1% above the base estimate.

Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near the screened price: fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.

Price History & Projections
$276$133$-10TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$12.00 -1%Street avg$12.00 -1%Our fair value$12.00 -1%Street high$12.00 -1%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-42.0x
EPS, trailing-2.33
EPS, forward-0.28
Revenue growth-27.6%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin-8.1%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-12.4%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield8.64%
Debt to equity0.14minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio4.86comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta0.73steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.17%
52-week range9.22 - 14.66
MoatNONE
Market cap$132M
Employees380

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

MED trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Markdown · changed $12.26 -3.2% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-09-05 Accumulation · changed $12.67 +23.5% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 23.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-08-05 Distribution · changed $10.26 -13.7% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 13.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-07-18 Markdown $11.89 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-07-03 Markdown $11.89 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $11.89 Entry 1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on MED

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in MED's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming MED
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $12.40 -1.9% · $982 -1.9%
2 months $10.06 +21.0% · $1,210 +21.0%
3 months $9.53 +27.7% · $1,277 +27.7%
6 months $11.83 +2.9% · $1,029 +2.9%
1 year $13.59 -10.5% · $896 -10.5%
2 years $21.05 -42.2% · $578 -42.2%
3 years $76.44 -84.1% $3.30 $202 -79.8%
5 years $256.39 -95.3% $15.77 $109 -89.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MED does next, these words stay.

Medifast Inc · MED · Markdown · $12.26
Recorded 2026-09-21 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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