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The Screen · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Moleculin Biotech Inc

MBRX · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $15M · 17 employees

Moleculin Biotech, Inc., a late-stage pharmaceutical development company, engages in the development of therapeutic candidates for the treatment of tumors and viruses.

Not yet scored
0.52 USD

Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 15 days ago

Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 15:50 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y

What this means: price 0.52 against the desk's fair-value range, over the last year.

Current read
Distribution ?
Screened · screened 2026-09-21
  • Trend Distribution
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical screen not yet scored
Price0.52 USD
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Distribution0.52+0.0% to today
2026-09-05Read Markup2.10-75.2% to today
2026-08-05Read Distribution2.10-75.2% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Accumulation2.64-80.3% to today

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Moleculin Biotech Inc holds its Distribution at $0.52. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 53 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 53 days
Price at the screen$0.52
ValuationN/A trailing · -0.02 forward price to earnings
Values screenNot scored · score 70.0
Beta1.75
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 1.62% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 1.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 40.16% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 40.2% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

The Read, in Plain English

Moleculin Biotech clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but its income-purity figure is still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

The Street's Range
10.00Street low 22.00Street average 31.00Street high 0.52Price

Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +4,131% from the screen price.

Price History & Projections
$1,563$725$-114TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$31.00 +1135%Street avg$22.00 +776%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E0.0x
EPS, trailing-16.16
EPS, forward-110.50
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-532.0%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-88.65%
Debt to equity2.15heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio1.38adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta1.75much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.20%
52-week range1.79 - 21.50
MoatNONE
Market cap$15M
Employees17

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

MBRX trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Distribution · changed $0.52 -75.2% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 75.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 85%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-09-05 Markup · changed $2.10 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 85%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-08-05 Distribution · changed $2.10 -20.5% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 85%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $2.64 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 85%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $21.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $2.64 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $2.64 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in MBRX's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $2.44 +2.9% · $1,029 +2.9%
2 months $2.62 -4.2% · $958 -4.2%
3 months $2.05 +22.4% · $1,224 +22.4%
6 months $5.00 -49.8% · $502 -49.8%
1 year $16.55 -84.8% · $152 -84.8%
2 years $107.75 -97.7% · $23 -97.7%
3 years $225.00 -98.9% · $11 -98.9%
5 years $1,447.50 -99.8% · $2 -99.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MBRX does next, these words stay.

Moleculin Biotech Inc · MBRX · Distribution · $0.52
Recorded 2026-09-21 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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