The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Curtiss-Wright Corp
CW · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $17.6B · 9,100 employees
Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 18:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price433.87 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.37)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $466.20 to $567.36, base estimate $493.36 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.37, read 2026-11-03
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
Curtiss-Wright Corp holds its Distribution at $433.87. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days |
| Price at the screen | $433.87 |
| Valuation | 32.78 trailing · 27.62 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 0.88 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Excluded industry: Aerospace & Defense
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Excluded industry: Aerospace & Defense | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Curtiss-Wright does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in aerospace and defense, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 8% discount to our $493.36 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 5.40% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 12.1% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +48% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $493.36, with a range of $466.20 to $567.36, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsDefence supplier fails ethics and valuation test
Supplying parts that end up inside military jets or nuclear plants gives Curtiss-Wright steady work, yet the business sits on the wrong side of our ethical screen from the outset.
We pass because the aerospace and defence exposure triggers an outright exclusion and the shares already price in perfection at 41 times forward earnings against our lower fair value. Revenue growth of 13 percent and a 20 percent return on equity look respectable on paper but do not offset the premium valuation or the narrow moat.
Even the analyst consensus target above the current price cannot change the fact that peak-cycle earnings in defence often look cheap on a low multiple only to disappoint later. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 27.6xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 32.8xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 14.52 |
| EPS, forward | 17.24 |
| Revenue growth | +5.4%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 14.8%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 19.7%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 3.15% |
| Dividend yield | 14.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.41minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.60healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 0.88steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 453.43 - 808.16 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $17.6B |
| Employees | 9,100 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeCW trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $788.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-01 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $728.58 | -0.5% | · | $996 | -0.5% |
| 2 months | $725.71 | -0.1% | · | $999 | -0.1% |
| 3 months | $680.06 | +6.7% | $0.24 | $1,067 | +6.7% |
| 6 months | $569.13 | +27.4% | $0.24 | $1,275 | +27.5% |
| 1 year | $455.75 | +59.1% | $0.96 | $1,594 | +59.4% |
| 2 years | $271.42 | +167.2% | $1.80 | $2,679 | +167.9% |
| 3 years | $172.43 | +320.6% | $2.60 | $4,221 | +322.1% |
| 5 years | $126.10 | +475.2% | $4.08 | $5,784 | +478.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CW does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.